4 ianuarie 2018
  • 23:12

    The main US stock indexes rose on the basis of today's trading

    The major US stock indexes finished trading in positive territory, with the Dow Jones industrial index for the first time exceeding 25,000, while other indices updated highs after strong US employment data added optimistic sentiments for sustainable growth worldwide.

    Thus, data from Automatic Data Processing (ADP) showed that the growth rate of employment in the private sector of the US accelerated in December, and was stronger than forecast. According to the report, in December the number of employed grew by 250 thousand people compared to the figure for November at 190 thousand. Analysts had expected that the number of employed will increase by 190 thousand.

    However, the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits rose for the third week in a row last week, but this probably does not imply a significant change in labor market conditions, as data for several states, including California, was evaluated. Primary appeals for unemployment benefits in the US increased by 3,000 to 250 thousand people for the week ending December 30, the Ministry of Labor said on Thursday. Economists predicted that in the last week, orders will fall to 240 thousand.

    Meanwhile, December data from Markit signaled a strong, but milder expansion of business activity in the US services sector. Seasonally adjusted final index of business activity in the US services sector from IHS Markit fell to 53.7 in December, from 54.5 in November. The last index was higher than the preliminary estimate (52.4). In accordance with the production trend, the growth rate of the volume of new orders slightly softened. At the price front, both purchase prices and inflation of vacation costs, were slightly weakened. In line with the softer business growth, the level of optimism in the sector fell to a 15-month low.

    Most components of the DOW index recorded a rise (22 out of 30). The leader of growth was shares of General Electric Company (GE, + 2.01%). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -1.61%).

    Almost all sectors of the S & P index finished trading in positive territory. The conglomerate sector grew most (+ 1.6%). The decrease was shown only by the utilities sector (-0.6%).

    At closing:

    DJIA + 0.61% 25,075.13 +152.45

    Nasdaq + 0.18% 7,077.92 +12.38

    S & P + 0.40% 2.723.99 +10.93

  • 22:01

    DJIA +0.66% 25,088.01 +165.33 Nasdaq +0.22% 7,081.20 +15.67 S&P +0.50% 2,726.61 +13.55

  • 19:01

    European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +24.77 7695.88 +0.32% DAX +189.68 13167.89 +1.46% CAC 40 +82.41 5413.69 +1.55%

  • 18:01

    U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 7.4 million barrels from the previous week

    U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 7.4 million barrels from the previous week. At 424.5 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are in the middle of the average range for this time of year.

    Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 4.8 million barrels last week, and are above the upper half of the average range. Both finished gasoline inventories and blending components inventories increased last week.

    Distillate fuel inventories increased by 8.9 million barrels last week and are in the middle of the average range for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 0.7 million barrels last week, but are in the middle of the average range. Total commercial petroleum inventories increased by 1.2 million barrels last week.

  • 18:00

    U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, December -7.419 (forecast -5.148)

  • 17:15

    U.S president Donald Trump says no military drills with South Korea during the winter olympics - South Korean presidency

    • Trump says he will send high-level delegation including his family to winter olympics

    • Hopes good results will come from inter-Korean talks

  • 16:46

    December data signalled a solid, but softer expansion in business activity across the US service sector

    Moreover, the latest upturn eased to a seven-month low. In line with the trend in output, the rate of growth in new business volumes softened slightly. Meanwhile, backlogs continued to rise and the latest expansion was the fastest for four months. Another solid rise in employment levels was linked to greater capacity pressures. On the price front, both input cost and charge inflation eased slightly. In line with softer business activity growth, the degree of optimism in the sector dipped to a 15-month low.

    The seasonally adjusted final IHS Markit U.S. Services Business Activity Index registered 53.7 in December, down from 54.5 in November.

  • 16:45

    U.S.: Services PMI, December 53.7 (forecast 52.4)

  • 16:32

    U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.27% Nasdaq +0.32%, S&P +0.24%

  • 16:28

    Before the bell: S&P futures +0.30%, NASDAQ futures +0.46%

    U.S. stock-index futures advanced on Thursday as upbeat economic data from around the world boosted sentiment.

    Global Stocks:

    Nikkei 23,506.33 +741.39 +3.26%

    Hang Seng 30,736.48 +175.53 +0.57%

    Shanghai 3,386.50 +17.40 +0.52%

    S&P/ASX 6,077.10 +6.70 +0.11%

    FTSE 7,688.07 +16.96 +0.22%

    CAC 5,410.93 +79.65 +1.49%

    DAX 13,161.41 +183.20 +1.41%

    Crude $61.77 (+0.23%)

    Gold $1,317.10 (-0.11%)

  • 15:52

    Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

    (company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)






    Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ





    Apple Inc.





    AT&T Inc





    Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE





    Boeing Co





    Caterpillar Inc





    Chevron Corp





    Cisco Systems Inc





    Citigroup Inc., NYSE





    Exxon Mobil Corp





    Facebook, Inc.





    Ford Motor Co.





    Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE





    General Electric Co





    General Motors Company, NYSE





    Goldman Sachs





    Google Inc.





    Hewlett-Packard Co.





    Home Depot Inc










    Intel Corp





    International Business Machines Co...





    JPMorgan Chase and Co





    McDonald's Corp





    Merck & Co Inc





    Microsoft Corp










    Pfizer Inc





    Procter & Gamble Co





    Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ





    Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ





    The Coca-Cola Co





    Twitter, Inc., NYSE





    UnitedHealth Group Inc





    Verizon Communications Inc





    Wal-Mart Stores Inc





    Walt Disney Co





    Yandex N.V., NASDAQ





  • 15:49

    Downgrades before the market open

    Chevron (CVX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill

  • 15:37

    Canadian Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI), increased 1.4% in November

    Prices for products sold by Canadian manufacturers, as measured by the Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI), increased 1.4% in November, mainly attributable to higher prices for energy and petroleum products. Prices for raw materials purchased by Canadian manufacturers, as measured by the Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI), rose 5.5%, primarily due to higher prices for crude energy products.

    The IPPI rose 1.4% in November, following a 1.1% increase in October. Of the 21 major commodity groups, 16 were up, 4 were down and 1 was unchanged.

  • 15:36

    U.S initial jobless claims little changed last week

    In the week ending December 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 250,000, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 2,000 from 245,000 to 247,000. The 4-week moving average was 241,750, an increase of 3,500 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 500 from 237,750 to 238,250.

  • 15:30

    U.S.: Initial Jobless Claims, December 250 (forecast 240)

  • 15:30

    U.S.: Continuing Jobless Claims, December 1914 (forecast 1925)

  • 15:30

    Canada: Industrial Product Price Index, y/y, November 2.7%

  • 15:30

    Canada: Industrial Product Price Index, m/m, November 1.4% (forecast 0.8%)

  • 15:18

    Super strong ADP report in December, 250K vs 190K expected

    Private sector employment increased by 190,000 jobs from October to November according to the November ADP National Employment Report

    "The labor market continues to grow at a solid pace," said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. "Notably, manufacturing added the most jobs the industry has seen all year. As the labor market continues to tighten and wages increase it will become increasingly difficult for employers to attract and retain skilled talent."

    Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, said, "The job market is red hot, with broad-based job gains across industries and company sizes. The only soft spots are in industries being disrupted by technology, brick-and-mortar retailing being the best example. There is a mounting threat that the job market will overheat next year."

  • 15:15

    U.S.: ADP Employment Report, December 250 (forecast 190)

  • 13:27

    Spain's 10-year bond yield falls 5 bps to 1.54 pct following first spanish debt auction of 2018, set for biggest daily fall in almost 2 months

  • 12:14

    EUR/USD Daily time frame Analysis

    As we can see on daily time frame chart, the price has broken the neckline of the chart pattern (head and shoulders).

    We can conclude that that pattern is now active, however, we might expect a slightly correction by the price close to the neckline in order to confirms the bullish movement on EUR/USD.

  • 11:32

    United Kingdom: Net Lending to Individuals, bln, November 4.9 (forecast 4.9)

  • 11:31

    December data indicated that business activity growth picked up across the UK service sector

    December data indicated that business activity growth picked up across the UK service sector, but the latest survey also found softer rises in new work and employment numbers at the end of 2017. At the same time, service providers indicated another marked increase in their average prices charged, which was overwhelmingly linked to strong cost pressures. Survey respondents signalled the fastest rise in operating expenses for three months, reflecting higher transportation costs, staff salaries and utility bills in December. The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI® Business Activity Index registered 54.2 in December, up from 53.8 in the previous month, to signal the second-fastest upturn in service sector output since April 2017.

  • 11:30

    United Kingdom: Mortgage Approvals, November 65.14 (forecast 64)

  • 11:30

    United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Services, December 54.2 (forecast 54.1)

  • 11:30

    United Kingdom: Consumer credit, mln, November 1.4 (forecast 1.5)

  • 11:10

    The euro area economy gathered further growth momentum at the end of 2017 says Markit

    The euro area economy gathered further growth momentum at the end of 2017, spurred on by a near-record expansion of manufacturing production and the steepest increase in service sector activity for over-six-and-a-half years. The final IHS Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index posted 58.1 in December, up from 57.5 in November, to register its highest reading since February 2011. The headline index has signalled growth for 54 successive months, with the average level during quarter four the best since the opening quarter of 2011.

  • 11:00

    German services PMI in line with expectations in December

    The rise in business activity was matched by similar robust increases in new work and employment, with rates of growth accelerating slightly in both cases. Furthermore, firms' confidence towards future prospects rebounded after easing in November and was among the highest seen in the past seven years.

    The seasonally adjusted final IHS Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index climbed to 55.8 in December from 54.3 in November, recording its highest reading since the final month of 2015. This latest increase in business activity extended a sequence of growth seen since mid2013, with the average pace of expansion for the year as a whole the best since 2011.

  • 11:00

    Eurozone: Services PMI, December 56.6 (forecast 56.5)

  • 10:55

    Germany: Services PMI, December 55.8 (forecast 55.8)

  • 10:50

    France: Services PMI, December 59.1 (forecast 59.4)

  • 10:31

    Britain's FTSE 100 hits fresh record high in early deals at 7,697 points, now up 0.3 pct

  • 10:30

    Spanish services PMI rose less than expected in December

    After having eased in recent months, rates of growth in services business activity and new orders improved in December. Meanwhile, confidence regarding the 12-month outlook for activity also strengthened. Rising workloads led companies to increase their staffing levels markedly again. On the price front, input costs continued to rise sharply while firms raised charges in line with improving customer demand.

    The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index ticked up to 54.6 in December from 54.4 in November, signalling a slightly sharper increase in activity over the month. This followed two successive months in which the rate of growth had slowed. Activity rose markedly at the end of 2017, extending the current sequence of expansion to 50 months.

  • 09:40

    Options levels on thursday, January 4, 2017


    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.2114 (4291)

    $1.2087 (3118)

    $1.2069 (4164)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.2030

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1995 (2183)

    $1.1949 (4092)

    $1.1899 (4868)


    - Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date January, 5 is 104498 contracts (according to data from January, 3) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2200 (6705);


    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.3610 (2784)

    $1.3577 (2969)

    $1.3551 (2634)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.3519

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.3446 (2010)

    $1.3399 (2321)

    $1.3350 (2094)


    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 5 is 33997 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (4419);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 5 is 36541 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3250 (2808);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.07 versus 1.03 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 3

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 09:17

    China Composite PMI data signalled a solid upturn in Chinese business activity at the end of 2017 - Markit

    The Caixin China Composite PMI data (which covers both manufacturing and services) signalled a solid upturn in Chinese business activity at the end of 2017. At 53.0, the Composite Output Index picked up from 51.6 in November to indicate the fastest rate of activity growth for a year. Steeper increases in activity were registered across both the manufacturing and service sectors during December. Notably, services companies recorded the quickest expansion in activity since August 2014. This was shown by the seasonally adjusted Caixin China General Services Business Activity Index rising from 51.9 in November to 53.9 at the end of the year. Meanwhile, manufacturing output increased at a pace that, though modest, was the strongest seen for three months.

  • 09:16

    Fed policymakers generally saw medium-term inflation outlook as little changed; several were concerned persistently weak inflation may have reduced inflation expectations - Minutes

    • A few policymakers said the median Fed projection published in december would bring too many rate hikes in 2018; a few others said more hikes could be needed in 2018 than implied in median projection

    • Fed policymakers discussed how fiscal stimulus or easy financial market conditions could boost output too much and require a steeper path of rate hikes

    • A few policymakers suggested further study of price level targeting or nominal GDP targeting frameworks

    • Fed policymakers generally agreed flatness of yield curve not unusual by historical standards; some expressed concern a possible future inversion could portend economic slowdown

  • 09:12

    10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.463 percent vs U.S. close of 2.445 percent on wednesday

  • 09:11

    U.S. crude oil futures rise to $62.13 per barrel, their highest level since may 2015

  • 09:10

    Japan PM Abe: plan to do utmost to solve North Korea's missile and nuclear issues by raising pressure with international community

  • 09:09

    Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.2 pct, DAX futures up 0.3 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.4 pct, FTSE futures up 0.2 pct

  • 09:08

    UK annual house price growth ended 2017 at 2.6%, compared with 4.5% in 2016

    • UK annual house price growth ended 2017 at 2.6%, compared with 4.5% in 2016

    • London weakest performing region, with house prices down 0.5% year-on-year

    • Significant differences in regional affordability, but saving for a deposit remains challenging for most.

    Commenting on the figures, Robert Gardner, Nationwide's Chief Economist, said: "Annual house price growth ended the year at 2.6%, within the 2-4% range that prevailed throughout 2017. This was in line with our expectations and broadly consistent with the 3- 4% annual rate of increase we expect to prevail over the long term (which is also our estimate for earnings growth in the long run)".

  • 08:59

    United Kingdom: Nationwide house price index , December 0.6% (forecast 0.2%)

  • 08:59

    United Kingdom: Nationwide house price index, y/y, December 2.6% (forecast 2%)

  • 08:44

    Global Stocks

    European stocks moved broadly higher on Wednesday, with retailers among biggest gainers in the region after an upbeat trading update from U.K. fashion and home chain Next PLC. Chip makers were also scoring solid advances, taking a cue from their U.S. counterparts that rallied both Tuesday and Wednesday.

    U.S. stock-market indexes pushed further into record territory, with the main benchmarks closing at fresh all-time highs Wednesday. The main benchmarks held on to earlier gains after the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting showed a distinct lack of unity over the central bank's projection of three rate hikes in 2018.

    Asian stocks headed toward fresh historic highs, with Japan's markets coming back from New Year holidays to see solid gains in the wake of U.S. records. Oil rose, while gold slipped. With Japanese benchmarks heading for the biggest one-day advance since May, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index is headed for a record close.

  • 03:45

    China: Markit/Caixin Services PMI, December 53.9 (forecast 51.8)

  • 02:30

    Japan: Manufacturing PMI, December 54.0 (forecast 54.2)

  • 01:30

    Commodities. Daily history for Jan 03’2018:

    (raw materials / closing price /% change)

    OIL 61.88 +0.41%

    GOLD 1314.70 -0.29%

  • 01:28

    Stocks. Daily history for Jan 03’2018:

    (index / closing price / change items /% change)

    Nikkei -19.04 22764.94 -0.08%

    TOPIX -1.47 1817.56 -0.08%

    Hang Seng +45.64 30560.95 +0.15%

    CSI 300 +23.99 4111.39 +0.59%

    Euro Stoxx 50 +19.69 3509.88 +0.56%

    FTSE 100 +23.01 7671.11 +0.30%

    DAX +106.82 12978.21 +0.83%

    CAC 40 +42.68 5331.28 +0.81%

    DJIA +98.67 24922.68 +0.40%

    S&P 500 +17.25 2713.06 +0.64%

    NASDAQ +58.63 7065.53 +0.84%

    S&P/TSX +61.56 16371.55 +0.38%

  • 01:26

    Currencies. Daily history for Jan 03’2018:

    (pare/closed(GMT +3)/change, %)

    EUR/USD $1,2014 -0,37%

    GBP/USD $1,3516 -0,57%

    USD/CHF Chf0,97682 +0,53%

    USD/JPY Y112,50 +0,20%

    EUR/JPY Y135,16 -0,17%

    GBP/JPY Y152,069 -0,36%

    AUD/USD $0,7834 +0,07%

    NZD/USD $0,7090 -0,16%

    USD/CAD C$1,25355 +0,20%

  • 00:59

    Schedule for today, Thursday, Jan 04’2018 (GMT0)

    00:30 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Finally) December 53.6 54.2

    01:45 China Markit/Caixin Services PMI December 51.9 51.8

    07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y December 2.5% 2%

    07:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index December 0.1% 0.2%

    08:50 France Services PMI (Finally) December 60.4 59.4

    08:55 Germany Services PMI (Finally) December 54.3 55.8

    09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Finally) December 56.2 56.5

    09:30 United Kingdom Net Lending to Individuals, bln November 4.8 4.9

    09:30 United Kingdom Consumer credit, mln November 1.451 1.5

    09:30 United Kingdom Mortgage Approvals November 64.58 64

    09:30 United Kingdom Purchasing Manager Index Services December 53.8 54.1

    13:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report December 190 192

    13:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, m/m November 1.0% 0.8%

    13:30 Canada Industrial Product Price Index, y/y November 1.8%

    13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 1943

    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims December 245 244

    14:45 U.S. Services PMI (Finally) December 54.5 52.4

    16:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories December -4.609

    18:30 U.S. FOMC Member James Bullard Speaks

  • 00:30

    Australia: AIG Services Index, December 52.0

Market Focus
  • RBA minutes: Recent modest fall in AUD helpful for domestic economy
  • US to impose extra tariffs on China from September 24 , around US200bn
  • Foreign investment in Canadian securities reached $12.7 billion in July
  • Business activity continued to grow at a solid clip in New York State
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