Market Overview

7 martie 2023 18:29

Lysakov Sergey

Rise of the Greenback May Lead to the Dumping of Stocks

A strong labor market, retail sales, and high persistent inflation pushed both Treasuries yields and the U.S. Dollar up. The U.S. 10-year Treasuries yield broke through the 4% level for the first time since November 2022. Suddenly, the upside yield movement was stopped by rising inflation in the Eurozone and a consequently possible higher than expected interest rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB).

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28 februarie 2023 18:05

Lysakov Sergey

Decline of Gas Prices in Europe Is Seen to Nearly Be Over

Gas prices in Europe have been hovering around summer 2021 lows since mid-February, gradually edging lower from 52.59 Euros on February 14 to 47.42 Euros per MWh at the end of February. The end of winter and relatively warm weather conditions, together with high gas inventories in Europe, lowered the demand for fuel. The reopening of Freeport LNG in Texas eight months after an explosion in the facility may likely lower import LNG prices for Europe. A strengthening U.S. Dollar and rising Treasuries’ yields may also put pressure on gas prices.

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21 februarie 2023 18:37

Lysakov Sergey

U.S. Economy Developments Supports Dollar and Pressures Stocks

Strong macroeconomic data and persistent inflation in the U.S. has pushed the Dollar up above its established trading range. Stock indices have been reluctant to this move so far. Blistering consumer prices are a real headache for the Federal Reserve (Fed) as they are deliberately slowing down. The Consumer Price Index was recorded at 6.4% year-on-year in January compared to 6.5% in the previous month. The Producer Price Index rose by 0.7% month-on month, well above the previous level of -0.2% and the forecasted 0.4%.

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14 februarie 2023 20:43

Lysakov Sergey

The Cable Is Waiting for a Decline

The British Pound began to rise against the Dollar towards the end of 2022, driven by the expectation of a slowdown in inflation in the United States that would eventually lead to a slowdown of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Dollar may respond to this by weakening against all other major currencies. Traders also expect the Bank of England (BoE) to continue raising its interest rates to fight high inflation. Such expectations pushed GBPUSD to 1.2450, the highest level since June 2022.

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7 februarie 2023 18:25

Lysakov Sergey

The Dollar Sighs with Vengeance

Investors are paying the penalty for not believing the Federal Reserve (Fed) and its promise to continue monetary tightening. After raising its interest rates to 4.75% from the previous 4.5%, the monetary watchdog has clearly claimed its hawkish plans to continue raising interest rates throughout 2023. That has not impressed investors who were overwhelmed by enthusiasm as the Fed’s Chair Jerome Powell recognised that the pace of inflation has cooled. Many have suggested that this is a victory over inflation, but Powell has clearly indicated that it is too early to say this.

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31 ianuarie 2023 18:36

Lysakov Sergey

Gold Is Looking Down Ahead of Fed Meeting

Gold has lost its function as a safe haven asset over the course of recent years as its prices have been seen to move in the same patterns as typical risky asset from the start of the pandemic and the beginning of the vast monetary stimulus delivered by major central banks and governments, and foremost by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Cheap money at almost zero rates amplified by stimulus programs mostly affected industrial and energy assets while undermining the low-yield Dollar-denominated debt. Investors were therefore seeking higher returns from other assets, including gold.

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24 ianuarie 2023 18:11

Lysakov Sergey

Wheat Prices Are Close to the Bottom

Wheat prices usually move in correlation with energy markets as they have many drivers in common. Wheat is a risky asset which is sensitive to the overall risk appetite in the markets and borrowing costs. Wheat prices peaked at $1348 per 100 bushels in February 2022 amid geopolitical tensions, an energy crisis, and blistering inflation. Such high price levels have not been seen since 2008. A war between major wheat producers in Russia and Ukraine greatly contributed to the market rally as wheat production declined and Black Sea export routes were disrupted.

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17 ianuarie 2023 12:24

Lysakov Sergey

Gas Prices in Europe Fell Below 52-Week Lows amid Stalling Demand

Gas prices in Europe continue to fall this week to extend a downward trend that started in December 2022 when Dutch TTF Gas Futures touched 150 Euro per MWh. By January 17, prices of March futures dropped to 53.605 Euro per MWh. This level is below the 52-week low and may signal a further decline of gas prices. This year gas futures started at 79.4 Euro per MWh and quickly dropped down. The reason for this drop is primarily the deteriorating demand for gas in Europe.

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13 ianuarie 2023 09:48

Lysakov Sergey

Chinese Yuan Is Gaining Strength Against the Dollar Ahead of Other Currencies

The Chinese Yuan or the Renminbi, as it is otherwise known, is gaining strength against a weakening U.S. Dollar like most of the other world currencies. In this case the Dollar sets the tune as the U.S. Dollar index declined to 102.9 points from 104.9 points at the beginning of January, or by 2%. USD/CNY also dropped by 2% from 6.90 to 6.77 by January 12. The Greenback is weakening mostly on expectations of mild monetary policy moves by the Federal Reserve (Fed), and generally amid a more optimistic sentiment in the market.

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27 decembrie 2022 13:35

Lysakov Sergey

Yen Paradox

The Japanese Yen is declining against the U.S. Dollar, as the USD/JPY rose from 130.6 lows on December 20 to 133 on December 27. The pair is rising despite the Dollar being weaker against most of the other major currencies. The U.S. Dollar index fell from 104.4 to 103.6 points over the same period. So why is this happening and what are real reasons behind the battering of the Yen? The Bank of Japan (BoJ) greatly surprised markets with its controversial decision on December 20 when it left its interest rates stable.

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Market Focus

Cotatii

Simbol	Bid	Ask	Ora
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDCHF
USDJPY
XAGEUR
XAGUSD
XAUUSD

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