Visão Geral do Mercado

29 março 2019 10:57

Maria Gregoriou

Today would have been the day that Britain left the European Union (EU), but with an extension being granted and Brexit power being seized over by the British parliament, the final leave day seems to be somewhere in our future. For these reasons the fate of Brexit is still uncertain, and the Pound exchange is taking a hit. After MPs rejected eight possible Brexit solutions yesterday, the Pound fell heavily, and things worsened after the government announced that another vote is planned to take place today.
28 março 2019 09:31

Maria Gregoriou

All eyes were on the British parliament in London last night, as MPs voted on eight different Brexit Options, all of which were rejected. The one vote that was closer to a yes was that of a proposal to keep the U.K. in a customs union with the EU. The vote came to 272 against 264. This could be the starting point for further negotiations between lawmakers, who will return to parliament again on Monday for another round of votes.
26 março 2019 10:54

Maria Gregoriou

The German market research institute, GfK, revealed that the consumer climate in Germany for March 2019 was “somewhat more balanced than in the previous month.” Even though this is the case, the study showed that income expectations and tendency to buy have seen a drop. The figure predicted by GfK for April has now been re-evaluated, and show a consumer climate value of 10.4, compared to the previous forecast in March of 10.7 points. As a result, the indicator’s positive start to 2019 has taken its first setback. The tendency to buy has seen a decrease of 3.
26 março 2019 08:23

Maria Gregoriou

Last night the U.K. Parliament voted to take control of the Brexit process as a means to find a way out of the current deadlock the country finds itself in after Theresa May’s Brexit deal was rejected by parliament twice. A series of votes on alternative strategies are now to be scheduled. These votes could circle around the options of a potential second referendum and the chance to give the British people the opportunity to decide, once more, if they should leave or stay within the European Union, the option for the U.K.
22 março 2019 11:22

Maria Gregoriou

Today the Euro lost significant ground after the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data was released from IHS Markit. The results show that economic activity is needed in two major European economies, that of France and Germany, and also in the Eurozone in general.  With regard to the French economy, the PMI for the industrial sector registered a value of 49.8 opposed to the anticipated  51 figure or above. Concerning the services sector, PMI also fell below expectations, registering at 48.7, which is below the forecast number of 50.6.
21 março 2019 08:05

Maria Gregoriou

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell stated yesterday that interest rates are not expected to increase this year as the American economy is slowing. During a news conference, the Fed chairman said, “we continue to expect that the American economy will continue to grow at a solid pace in 2019, although likely slower than the very strong pace of 2018.” The Fed has now forecasted that growth is expected to be at 2.1 percent this year, which is a decrease from the 2.3 percent forecast from December, and even lower than the 3.2 percent expected growth predicted by the White House.
20 março 2019 10:09

Maria Gregoriou

The European Union, according to an EU official, will most probably give Britain a chance to decide whether to extend Brexit until 2020 by the middle of April. The news comes ahead of a summit to take place in Brussels on Thursday, during which Theresa May is likely to receive an ultimatum that will give Britain “just three weeks to decide whether to gamble on getting the current Brexit deal through British Parliament by July,” according to Bloomberg.
19 março 2019 10:05

Maria Gregoriou

As Theresa May seeks to delay Brexit after parliament rejected the withdrawal deal she brought back from Brussels on two occasions and a third vote has been ruled out, the Pound is considered to be cheap, according to Merian Global Investors Ltd. The asset management experts behind the investment firm said today that the Pound is a “bargain” and that it may strengthen to $1.45 once the Brexit situation begins to show some clarity. The Pounds was at $1.3267 during the early morning hours in London today. The Pound strengthened against all of its Group of Ten associates this year.
22 fevereiro 2019 08:48

Maria Gregoriou

Governor of Australia’s Central Bank, Philip Lowe, gave a speech last night to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics. In this speech, he mentioned that the forecast for GDP growth this year is at 3 percent, while unemployment is expected to decrease to 4 ¾ percent over the next couple of years. He also said that inflation is expected to be at 2 ¼ percent by the end of 2020. The overall forecast for 2019 is for growth of around 3 percent, inflation to be at around 2 percent and unemployment is expected to be at around 5 percent.
21 fevereiro 2019 12:43

Maria Gregoriou

The Australian Bureau of Statistics announced yesterday that in January 39,100 new jobs were created – more than double the number that was expected. The unemployment rate for January stood at five percent, the lowest percentage in six and a half years. These figures prove that the Australian economy is going from strength to strength. Even as this is the case, the leading Australian bank Westpac, has set out its monetary policy view, believing that the reserve bank of Australia will lower the benchmark interest rate later this year.
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