Visão Geral do Mercado

29 novembro 2018 15:06

Peter Bukov

The greenback was trying to erase yesterday’s losses and the dollar index edged higher from the intraday low, despite not so positive inflation data from the US. The core PCE inflation index, which is the favorite way of measuring inflation for the Fed, unexpectedly deteriorated to 1.8% in October, down from 1.9% (revised lower from 2.0%) previously. The normal gauge stayed at 2.0% year-on-year. Slowing inflation can deter the Fed from raising rates, along with other factors such as weakening economic momentum. From other news, personal spending soared to 0.6% from 0.
28 novembro 2018 15:36

Peter Bukov

The USDJPY pair ticked higher on Wednesday and was trading near the 114 level during the US session as rising stocks and rising yields spurred demand for the USDJPY pair. Traders paid attention to today’s US GDP preliminary data for the third quarter, which came out at 3.5% and sent a strong message, that the US economy is still outpacing other G7 countries. However, most economists expect the economic activity to slow down over the next quarters as Trump’s tax cuts positive influence on the GDP growth will fade out. Moreover, the GDP price index remained at 1.7% on the yearly basis.
26 novembro 2018 15:51

Peter Bukov

The single currency failed to hold intraday gains and dropped 30-40 from daily highs to trade relatively unchanged on the day during the US session, hovering near 1.1350. Earlier in the day, the German IFO surveys came out on the negative side when the business climate survey decelerated to 102.0 in November from 102.9 in October and the expectations (the most important subindex) slowed from 99.7 to 98.7. Both numbers came well below analysts’ forecasts. The current assessment gauge fell as well and printed 105.4 from 106.1 in the previous month.
23 novembro 2018 14:07

Peter Bukov

It was a volatile day for the Canadian dollar and the Loonie was down 0.5% during the London session, with the USDCAD pair trading at around 1.3250. The Canadian inflation accelerated further to 2.4% year on year, while core inflation also ticked higher to 1.6% from 1.5% previously. Moreover, retail sales advanced a bit from 0.0% to 0.2%, whilst the ex transportation gauge moved higher to 0.1% from -0.4% previously. Positive data failed to boost the Canadian dollar and it dropped, as previously mentioned.
20 novembro 2018 15:01

Peter Bukov

Stocks worldwide plunged on Tuesday and EU indices were trading at this year’s lows, while the US benchmarks dropped closer to October’ lows. The DAX index was down 1.2% during the London session, while the SP500 benchmark lost 1.5% shortly after the US opening bell and the Nasdaq was down another 2% to trade at 7-month lows. Sentiment worsened further on Tuesday as FAANG stocks continued their demise, which dragged the entire stock market down. From the macro data point of view, US building permits rose slightly from 1.241 million annually to 1.
19 novembro 2018 15:13

Peter Bukov

Stocks dropped on Monday and the EU indices were 0.5 – 0.7% lower, excluding the FTSE 100 index, which was still 0.25% higher, mainly due to the optimism about the Brexit deal. The US indices opened 0.5% lower and continued to decline during the US session. The worst sector was semiconductors as NVIDIA cratered another 8% after weak results and lowered guidance and the stock is now down 50% from its October highs. The technology Nasdaq index lost nearly 2% on Monday. There were no major macro updates today, but the FX market was not calm at all.
16 novembro 2018 14:08

Peter Bukov

The US dollar dropped across the board on Friday and the dollar index was 0.505 lower during the US session, while the EURUSD pair surged 0.6% to trade at around 1.1380, negating the immediate bearish trend. Investors focused on today’s inflation figures from the euro zone, which came out without any revisions and therefore spurred no volatility at all. The year-on-year CPI change stayed at 2.2%, whilst the core gauge remained at 1.1%. The ECB expects the core inflation to rise significantly over the next quarters, according to Mario Draghi’s words.
15 novembro 2018 14:34

Peter Bukov

The pound lost some 200 pips on Thursday and the GBPUSD pair was trading down 1.50% during the London session as traders aggressively sold sterling after the UK Brexit minister Dominic Raab's resignation. The Cable decline back below the 1.30 level and was trading at 1.2870 during afternoon. Earlier in the day, the UK retail sales slumped again and the year-on-year gauge slowed to 2.2% from 3.3% in September. Moreover, the core indicator also decelerated notably from 3.6% to 2.7%. Weaker data also undermined the pound.
14 novembro 2018 15:17

Peter Bukov

Stock indices over the world rose sharply from daily lows on Wednesday and the US exchanges opened 0.6% higher, while the EU indices rose around 2% from daily lows as sentiment switched quickly from negative to positive. Moreover, US inflation numbers came out mixed, with the headline CPI figure rising to 2.5% year-on-year in October, up from 2.3% in September, while the core gauge unexpectedly worsened marginally to 2.1%. Traders sold the greenback after these numbers and stocks rose notably.
13 novembro 2018 16:03

Peter Bukov

The single currency was trading 0.5% higher during the US session and the euro erased more than half of Monday’s losses as the EURUSD pair was hovering 20 pips below the 1.13 handle. Earlier in the day, the German ZEW survey for November came out and the economic sentiment improved somewhat, when it printed -24.1 against expectations of -25.0 and the previous number remained at -24.7. However, the current situation crashed sharply from 70.1 to 58.2, probably due to the ongoing political crisis in Italy and a possible trade war between the EU and USA.
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Os CFD são instrumentos complexos e apresentam um elevado risco de perda rápida dinheiro devido ao efeito de alavancagem. 69% dos investidores de retalho perdem capital quando negoceiam com este provedor. Deve considerar se compreende como funcionam os CFD e se pode correr o elevado risco de perda do seu dinheiro.