Ειδήσεις αγοράς

23 Ιανουαρίου 2020
  • 11:20

    EUR: Can it survive the challenges of the next decade? – ANZ

    FXStreet reports that Brian Martin, Analyst at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) offers insights on the key challenges that the euro is likely to face starting out the new decade.

    "The euro is starting the new decade with a growth crisis in Italy and an extremely limited policy arsenal. The current restrictive fiscal framework needs to be addressed and the incomplete banking and capital markets union completed.

    Italy will hold a regional election in the traditionally left-wing stronghold of Emilia-Romagna this weekend. A victory for the right-wing Lega Party would exert serious pressure on the fragile coalition government in Rome and push BTP yields higher.

    Ensuring the euro in its current format is a continued success means that it must work for all member countries. That is not the case at present. The new EU Commission cannot be complacent and must champion growth."

  • 11:01

    China coronavirus outbreak: ‘The worst has yet to come’ - analyst

    The severity of the rapidly spreading coronavirus outbreak in China that's claimed more than a dozen lives is still unknown, and the extent of its spread will only be clearer after the Lunar New Year holidays, said David Roche of Independent Strategy, CNBC reports.

    Hundreds of millions of Chinese will traveling during the week-long holiday period as China celebrates the Spring Festival.

    "The bad news is that the worst has yet to come, as the number of new infections is still on the rise," warned Larry Hu, economist at Macquarie Capital.

    Much is still not known about the mysterious new virus that has killed 17 people so far and infected nearly 600 others worldwide. The disease, first discovered in the Chinese city of Wuhan, has spread to Beijing, Shanghai and other populated cities in the country. Cases in Thailand, Japan, South Korea and even the United States, have also been discovered.

    The World Health Organization will convene again on Thursday, a day after deciding not to designate the outbreak of the virus as a global health emergency.

  • 10:39

    ECB meeting likely a non-event but risk balance is for a hawkish surprise in tone - BofA

    eFXdata reports that Bank of America Global Research discusses its expectations for ECB policy meeting.

    "Although the meeting this week is not the time for an ECB policy shift, we see risks that the tone may start changing. The announcement of the policy review itself could be a flag for an eventual policy compromise. The ECB will also have to acknowledge the improving data, although from a very low basis, and fewer tail risks from trade policy and Brexit," BofA notes.

    "Given green shoots in data and further upside to core inflation, a discussion about the risk balance shifting to "neutral" could start fairly soon. Combined with increasing emphasis on the need to monitor "side effects" from negative rates, the risk balance for this week is for a hawkish surprise. The risk of hawkish-leaning undertones at the ECB meeting supports our front-end steepener recommendations. We see positive risks for the EUR from the meeting," BofA adds.

  • 10:22

    IMF chief Georgieva: Uncertainty is the major downside risk for global economy

    • Wants to see governments stepping up action

    • The world is more shock-prone as it is interconnected currently

    • Sees signs of trade, industrial slowdown bottoming out

    • We are in a better place at the start of 2020 than in 2019

    • Consensus is that global rates will be low for longer

    • Fed, PBOC have policy space

    • Other countries need to look at fiscal tools more closely

  • 10:00

    Focus on ECB and Norges Bank meetings – Danske Bank

    FXStreet reports that analysts at Danske Bank offered a brief overview of Thursday's important market-moving events - the highly anticipated European Central Bank (ECB) meeting and Norges Bank rate decision.

    "Today's highlight will be the ECB meeting which is set to focus on the strategic review and not on new policy messages, see ECB Preview - Time to reveal the scope, 17 January and our ECB strategic review "What, why, how? 10 critical questions for the strategic review. Media reported that ECB governing council members received documents concerning the strategic review, which will officially be launched today. Bloomberg reported yesterday that ECB will split the discussions in two parts (one on inflation and one on climate, communication etc). On the economic side we expect the ECB to confirm its easing bias and acknowledge its downside risk assessment, but also note the fading downside risks."

    "In Norway, we expect Norges Bank to leave its policy rate at 1.5% and reiterate that it will remain unchanged "in the coming period" at its rate-setting meeting on Thursday. This is one of the bank's "interim" meetings, with no new monetary policy report or press conference, and historically the threshold for any new signals at such meetings has been relatively high."

  • 09:41

    One big worry is negative interest rates - J.P. Morgan Chase CEO

    J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon told CNBC that negative interest rates are one of the only things that concern him in a market.

    "The only thing I have trepidation about is negative interest rates, QE, and the diversion between stock prices and bond prices and yield and stuff like that," Dimon said on "Squawk Box".

    "It's kind of one of the great experiments of all time, and we still don't know what the ultimate outcome is," Dimon said.

    Negative interest rates have been used by central banks in Japan and Europe to try to stimulate their stubbornly stagnant economies.

    "I think it's very hard for central banks to forever make up for bad policy elsewhere," Dimon said. "That puts in them in a trap. We're a little bit in that trap today with rates so low around the world."

    "I would never buy a negative rate bond, not unless I was forced," Dimon added. "In history whenever you've seen anything like that, it doesn't necessarily end well."

    Dimon added that he was worried about the repercussions from quantitative easing, along with risks from cyber attacks or geopolitical events.

  • 09:20

    Asian session review: the yen rose markedly against the US dollar

    Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast Actual
    00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation January 4% 3.8% 4.7%
    00:30 Australia Changing the number of employed December 38.5 15 28.9
    00:30 Australia Unemployment rate December 5.2% 5.2% 5.1%
    04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m November -4.8% -0.1% 0.9%
    05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index November 91.6 90.9 90.8
    05:00 Japan Coincident Index November 95.3 95.1 94.7

    During today's Asian trading, the US dollar rose slightly against the euro, but fell against the Japanese yen in the face of renewed demand for safe haven assets due to concerns about a new virus that causes pneumonia, which was detected in China. The number of deaths from pneumonia caused by a new coronavirus in China rose to 17 on Thursday with nearly 600 confirmed cases.

    The ICE Dollar index, which shows the value of the US dollar against six major world currencies, rose 0.03% to 97.55.

    The pound fell slightly against the dollar, following yesterday's rally due to lower chances of a Bank of England rate cut.

    The Australian dollar rose 0.31% against the US dollar after data indicated an unexpected drop in unemployment to a nine-month low. Australian Bureau of Statistics said the unemployment rate in Australia came in at a seasonally adjusted 5.1% in December. That beat forecasts for 5.2%, which would have been unchanged from the November reading. The Australian economy added 28,900 jobs last month, beating expectations for an increase of 15,000 jobs after gaining 38,500 jobs in the previous month.

  • 08:59

    EUR/USD faces initial hurdle at 1.1132 – Commerzbank

    FXStreet reports that according to Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank, the pair faces the next hurdle at the 200-day SMA in the 1.1130 region.

    "EUR/USD continues to hold over the uptrend at 1.1073. The intraday Elliott wave signals remain slightly negative but ideally this trend line will continue to hold. Initial resistance is the 1.1132 200 day ma."

    "Overhead the market is facing tough resistance at 1.1184-1.1240 - namely the 55 week ma, the 2019-2020 down channel and the recent high. This guards the 200 week ma at 1.1359, which continues to represent a critical break point medium term."

  • 08:50

    Options levels on thursday, January 23, 2020

    EUR/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.1257 (3483)

    $1.1214 (3219)

    $1.1179 (1977)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.1081

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.1039 (2708)

    $1.0995 (1846)

    $1.0948 (934)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date February, 7 is 53975 contracts (according to data from January, 22) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1350 (4682);


    GBP/USD

    Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

    $1.3260 (1267)

    $1.3233 (979)

    $1.3210 (1733)

    Price at time of writing this review: $1.3126

    Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

    $1.3046 (2658)

    $1.3014 (1164)

    $1.2977 (3183)


    Comments:

    - Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 7 is 24885 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3600 (3938);

    - Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 7 is 21854 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3183);

    - The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.88 versus 0.86 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 22

    * - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

    ** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

  • 07:16

    Japan: Coincident Index, November 94.7 (forecast 95.1)

  • 07:16

    Japan: Leading Economic Index , November 90.8 (forecast 90.9)

  • 06:31

    Japan: All Industry Activity Index, m/m, November 0.9% (forecast -0.1%)

  • 06:31

    Japan: All Industry Activity Index, m/m, November 0.9% (forecast -0.1%)

  • 04:30

    Commodities. Daily history for Wednesday, January 22, 2020

    Raw materials Closed Change, %
    Brent 62.66 -2.87
    WTI 56.04 -3.71
    Silver 17.81 0.23
    Gold 1558.485 0.03
    Palladium 2463.71 2.88
  • 02:30

    Australia: Changing the number of employed, December 28.9 (forecast 15)

  • 02:30

    Australia: Unemployment rate, December 5.1% (forecast 5.2%)

  • 02:30

    Stocks. Daily history for Wednesday, January 22, 2020

    Index Change, points Closed Change, %
    NIKKEI 225 166.79 24031.35 0.7
    Hang Seng 355.71 28341.04 1.27
    KOSPI 27.56 2267.25 1.23
    ASX 200 66.4 7132.7 0.94
    FTSE 100 -38.78 7571.92 -0.51
    DAX -40.12 13515.75 -0.3
    CAC 40 -35.01 6010.98 -0.58
    Dow Jones -9.77 29186.27 -0.03
    S&P 500 0.96 3321.75 0.03
    NASDAQ Composite 12.96 9383.77 0.14
  • 02:15

    Currencies. Daily history for Wednesday, January 22, 2020

    Pare Closed Change, %
    AUDUSD 0.68431 -0.01
    EURJPY 121.86 0.1
    EURUSD 1.10939 0.12
    GBPJPY 144.306 0.72
    GBPUSD 1.31377 0.73
    NZDUSD 0.65937 -0.01
    USDCAD 1.31329 0.48
    USDCHF 0.96777 -0.09
    USDJPY 109.839 -0.01
  • 02:01

    Australia: Consumer Inflation Expectation, January 4.7% (forecast 3.8%)

  • 01:50

    Japan: Trade Balance Total, bln, December -152.5 (forecast -150)

  • 01:30

    Schedule for today, Thursday, January 23, 2020

    Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
    00:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation January 4% 3.8%
    00:30 Australia Unemployment rate December 5.2% 5.2%
    00:30 Australia Changing the number of employed December 39.9 15
    04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m November -4.3% -0.1%
    05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index November 91.6 90.9
    05:00 Japan Coincident Index November 95.3 95.1
    12:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%
    13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims January 1767 1746
    13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims January 204 215
    13:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference
    15:00 Eurozone Consumer Confidence January -8.1 -7.8
    15:00 U.S. Leading Indicators December 0.0% -0.2%
    16:00 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories January -2.549 -1.117
    21:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter IV 0.7% 0.4%
    21:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter IV 1.5% 1.8%
    23:30 Japan National CPI Ex-Fresh Food, y/y December 0.5% 0.7%
    23:30 Japan National Consumer Price Index, y/y December 0.5% 0.4%
23 Ιανουαρίου 2020
Αποσπάσματα
Σύμβολο Προσφορά Ζήτηση Χρόνος
EURUSD
GBPUSD
XAUUSD
USDCHF
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
USDJPY
XAGUSD
XAGEUR

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