Forex: Thursday's review
The Australian and New Zealand dollars declined against most of their major peers as speculation that China will take more measures to cool growth dented demand for higher-yielding currencies.
The U.S. currency and the yen strengthened as equity losses boosted demand for a refuge. Data showed China’s economic growth accelerated, adding to pressure for monetary tightening. The dollar pared gains
against the common currency before data that economists predict will show U.S. continuing jobless claims increased and home-sales growth slowed.
China’s economic growth quickened to an annual rate of 9.8% in the fourth quarter, up from 9.6% in the prior three months, the statistics bureau said. Consumer prices rose 4.6% in December from a year earlier, compared with 5.1% the previous month.
The People’s Bank of China will increase the key one-year lending rate to 6.81% from 5.81% this year and let the yuan strengthen about 6% against the dollar, Nomura Holdings Inc. forecast this week.New Zealand’s dollar retreated
from near the strongest this year. The government said consumer prices rose 2.3% in the fourth quarter from the previous three months, when they advanced 1.1% . Economists forecast 2.4% growth.The euro gained
against the pound and the yen as statistics showed German producer prices climbed at the fastest pace in seven months.
EUR/USD: the pair bargained within the limits of $1,3390-$ 1,3525.
GBP/USD: the pair decreased in around $1,5900.
USD/JPY: the pair become stronger in around Y83,00
UK data includes retail sales for December as well as lending data from the BoE. Retail sales are expected to decline by a reading of -0.3% m/m, +1.1% y/y with ex-auto data unchanged m/m, 1.5% y/y.
European data for Friday starts at 0745GMT with manufacturing & services sentiment data from France for January. However, the main release from core-Europe is the German Ifo data for January, which is due at 0900GMT. The main index is expected to remain around the last 109.9 reading with the median forecast in an MNI survey coming in at 110.0. European data continues in the afternoon with the Belgian National Bank business sentiment data, which is expected to slip to a reading of +2.3.