The AUD/JPY pair has jumped to near 92.40 as the Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported a higher-than-anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for the fourth quarter of CY2022. The annual CPI has jumped to 7.8% from the expectations of 7.5% and the prior release of 7.3%. On a quarterly basis, the inflation rate has climbed to 1.9% vs. the consensus of 1.6% and the former release of 1.8%.
A higher-than-expected inflation rate is going to compel the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for hiking interest rates further in its February monetary policy meeting. The Australian Financial Review’s survey of 34 economists put the first post-pandemic-era rate cut in play by March 2024. But before that, it expects RBA Governor Philip Lowe to continue hiking interest rates further to 3.60%. The RBA is expected to hike its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) in February and June.
Meanwhile, economic activities in the Australian region have been constantly contracting for the past seven months due to restrictive monetary policy. According to the preliminary S&P PMI (Jan), Australian Manufacturing PMI has trimmed consecutively for the seven-month to 49.8 while the street was expecting an expansion to 50.3. Also, the Services PMI has dropped vigorously to 48.3 from the consensus of 49.7, released on Tuesday.
On the Tokyo front, the Japanese Yen bulls are continuously facing pressure from the market participants after Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda kept a dovish stance on interest rates and also kept the range of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) unchanged. This week, the release of The Tokyo inflation data will be of utmost importance.
Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 77.94% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Prior to trading, you should take into consideration your level of experience and financial situation. TeleTrade strives to provide you with all the necessary information and protective measures, but, if the risks seem still unclear to you, please seek independent advice.
© 2011-2023 Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd
This website is operated by Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd, which is registered as a Cyprus Investment Firm (CIF) under registration number HE272810 and is licensed by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under license number 158/11. Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd is located at 88, Arch. Makarios Avenue, 2nd floor, Nicosia Cyprus.
The company operates in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID).
The content on this website is for information purposes only. All the services and information provided have been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable. Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd ("TeleTrade") and/or any third-party information providers provide the services and information without warranty of any kind. By using this information and services you agree that under no circumstances shall TeleTrade have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part caused by reliance on such information and services.
TeleTrade cooperates exclusively with regulated financial institutions for the safekeeping of clients' funds. Please see the entire list of banks and payment service providers entrusted with the handling of clients' funds.
Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd currently provides its services on a cross-border basis, within EEA states (except Belgium) under the MiFID passporting regime, and in selected 3rd countries. TeleTrade does not provide its services to residents or nationals of the USA.