The National Bank of Poland surprised to the upside yet again with its 100bp rate hike – the main rate now stands at 4.5%. Economists at ING think the market's underestimating future rate hike trajectories. The move is positive for the zloty.
“Strong move by Poland's Monetary Policy Committee takes its main rate to 4.5%. We see it reaching 6.5% this year and 7.5% in 2023. That's more than is being priced in by the markets. The move is positive for PLN and is likely to translate into a flattening of the yield curve.”
“The scale of monetary tightening in Poland will be larger than priced in by the market. It will put further downward pressure on EUR/PLN, pushing it towards 4.58-59 in the coming days. The higher pace of monetary tightening also paves the way for stronger zloty appreciation for the remainder of this quarter.”
“EUR/PLN may reach 4.50 within the next couple of months. It is even more likely given signals that the EUR/USD decline is losing momentum.”
Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Prior to trading, you should take into consideration your level of experience and financial situation. TeleTrade strives to provide you with all the necessary information and protective measures, but, if the risks seem still unclear to you, please seek independent advice.
© 2011-2022 Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd
Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd is registered as a Cyprus Investment Firm (CIF) under registration number HE272810 and is licensed by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under license number 158/11.
The company operates in accordance with the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID).
The content on this website is for information purposes only. All the services and information provided have been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable. Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd ("TeleTrade") and/or any third-party information providers provide the services and information without warranty of any kind. By using this information and services you agree that under no circumstances shall TeleTrade have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part caused by reliance on such information and services.
TeleTrade cooperates exclusively with regulated financial institutions for the safekeeping of clients' funds. Please see the entire list of banks and payment service providers entrusted with the handling of clients' funds.
Teletrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd currently provides its services on a cross-border basis, within EEA states (except Belgium) under the MiFID passporting regime, and in selected 3rd countries. TeleTrade does not provide its services to residents or nationals of the USA.