Market news

21 December 2021

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/EUR consolidates biggest daily losses in December near €1,590

  • Gold prices print mild gains inside monthly ascending trend channel.
  • Market sentiment dwindles amid light calendar, mildly bid equities, softer USD favor commodities.
  • Omicron woes intensify, US President Biden will address the nation.

Gold (XAU/EUR) grinds around intraday high, up 0.17% on a day near €1,588 ahead of Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the metal prices in Euro pare the previous day’s losses, the heaviest since November 30, amid mixed sentiment.

Market’s positioning during the year-end quiet session joins a light calendar to trigger the metal’s latest rebound. Also favoring the corrective pullback could be the hopes of US stimulus and chatters that the virus woes have limited life.

However, the worsening Omicron conditions in the West hint at further activity restrictions and spoil the holiday season, which in turn challenges the XAU/EUR buyers. On the same line is the indecision over the European Central Bank’s (ECB) stance over monetary policy tightening as various committee members differ over inflation and the urgency to consolidate policies.

Against this backdrop, the US 10-year Treasury yields keep the previous day’s bounce off the 16-month-old support line near 1.43% whereas stock futures in the US and Europe print mild gains by the press time.

Moving on, risk catalysts may offer intermediate moves to the gold prices but the buyers may have little to cheer while considering the Omicron woes. That said, US President Joe Biden is up for addressing the nation. However, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki has already mentioned that the speech, “Will not be about locking the country down.”

Technical analysis

God prices remain inside a three-week-old rising channel bullish chart pattern, recently bouncing off 50% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the early November’s run-up.

However, multiple failures to stay beyond the 200-SMA joins bearish MACD signals and a steady RSI line to keep XAU/EUR sellers hopeful.

That said, the immediate Fibo. the support level of €1,587 holds the key to the metal’s further downside towards the stated channel’s lower line, around €1,575 by the press time.

A clear downside break of €1,575 will reject the bullish chart pattern but the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near €1,571 will act as an additional downside filter before highlighting the monthly low for gold sellers, around €1,555.

Alternatively, recovery moves may aim for the 200-SMA level of €1,594 and then the €1,600 threshold. Though, the channel’s resistance line near €1,605 will challenge the gold buyers afterward.

Gold: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Market Focus

Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer.

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