Despite a seismic shift in the Federal Reserve's dot plot and language with regards to inflation, the US dollar was unable to capitalise on the hawkish outcome. Instead, the greenback is worse off since the release of the statement and has sunk to the lowest levels since the start of the New York session.
However, the commodity complex remains on the backfoot, as measured by the Thomson CRB index that reads -0.23% at the time of writing. Nevertheless, USD/CAD is now in the red for the first time this session and trades at 1.2857 following a post-Fed low of 1.2845.
See also: Summary of Economic Projections
Meanwhile, the outcome of the Fed was hawkish, more than expected when taking into account the dot plot, much of the market's thinking may have already been priced in. The US dollar has rallied by almost 4% since the start of November on the back of the Fed's tapering communications. However, the risk now comes with the European Central Bank and traders may not wish to be too long of the greenback going into Thursday's meeting. Reports suggest the upcoming ECB forecasts will show inflation remaining below the 2% target in both 2023 and 2024 and that should underpin the greenback.
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