FXStreet reports that economists at UBS forecast a U-shaped recovery and expect Chinese equities to outperform developed markets.
“In our central scenario, we see the second quarter marking the lowest point in economic activity, and we expect a subdued U-shaped economic recovery from the third quarter onwards, as a second wave could lead to recurring restrictions. Renewed outbreaks mean that intermittent suppression measures, including partial lockdowns, are likely, and we project economic activity to only normalize sustainably in December.”
“US-China tensions may heat up as the US election nears, but we believe the economic recovery remains far more important for investment sentiment.”
“Further upside for equity markets as a whole would likely require additional fiscal or monetary stimulus, greater clarity about exit strategies, or a medical breakthrough.”
“We expect Chinese equities to lead the recovery, outperforming developed market ex-US stocks, as China is likely already in the advanced stages of the virus outbreak cycle.”
Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Prior to trading, you should take into consideration your level of experience and financial situation. TeleTrade strives to provide you with all the necessary information and protective measures, but, if the risks seem still unclear to you, please seek independent advice.
© 2011-2020 TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd
TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd is registered as a Cyprus Investment Firm (CIF) under registration number HE272810 and is licensed by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under license number 158/11.
The company operates in accordance with Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID).
The content on this website is for information purposes only. All the services and information provided have been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable. TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd ("TeleTrade") and/or any third-party information providers provide the services and information without warranty of any kind. By using this information and services you agree that under no circumstances shall TeleTrade have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part caused by reliance on such information and services.
TeleTrade cooperates exclusively with regulated financial institutions for the safekeeping of clients' funds. Please see the entire list of banks and payment service providers entrusted with the handling of clients' funds.
TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd currently provides its services on a cross-border basis, within EEA states (except Belgium) under the MiFID passporting regime, and in selected 3rd countries. TeleTrade does not provide its services to residents or nationals of the USA.