Market news

11 November 2019

JPY: Not much upside – ING

Analysts at ING note the apparent improvement in U.S.-China trade has triggered a sharp steepening in the US yield curve and ING’s rates team thinks that steepening in the 2-10 curve is probably limited to the 30bp area, suggesting that US 10 year yields stall around 2.00%.

  • “Given USD/JPY typically has one of the tightest correlations with US yields, the above views suggest USD/JPY may not have too much more upside mileage at this stage – perhaps 110.80 might be the best case on the week if we are under-estimating the scale of this bond tantrum.
  • In Japan, the focus will be on Thursday’s release of 3Q19 GDP data – expected at 0.2% QoQ. It's expected to be supported by front-loaded consumption ahead of the October sales tax hike. We’ll also be watching the regular portfolio flows data and whether Japanese buying of foreign bonds is accelerating. That's been implied by recent surveys of Life Insurance managers and Japan’s largest fund manager, the GPIF, suggesting it was making room for larger unhedged foreign bond purchases. Indeed, we’re starting to doubt whether USD/JPY will make it below 105 over coming quarters. We're also not too distracted by the President Trump impeachment process – which we rather see as noise for FX markets.”

Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer.

Open Forex Demo Account
I understand and accept the Privacy Policy and agree that my name and contact details can be used by TeleTrade to contact me about the information I have selected.
37 International Awards
Have a question?

We are ready to assist you in every step of your trading experience
by providing 24/5 multilingual customer support.

Follow us

Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Prior to trading, you should take into consideration your level of experience and financial situation. TeleTrade strives to provide you with all the necessary information and protective measures, but, if the risks seem still unclear to you, please seek independent advice.

© 2011-2020 TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd

TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd is registered as a Cyprus Investment Firm (CIF) under registration number HE272810 and is licensed by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) under license number 158/11.

The company operates in accordance with Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID).

The content on this website is for information purposes only. All the services and information provided have been obtained from sources deemed to be reliable. TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd ("TeleTrade") and/or any third-party information providers provide the services and information without warranty of any kind. By using this information and services you agree that under no circumstances shall TeleTrade have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part caused by reliance on such information and services.

TeleTrade cooperates exclusively with regulated financial institutions for the safekeeping of clients' funds. Please see the entire list of banks and payment service providers entrusted with the handling of clients' funds.

Please read our full Terms of Use.

To maximise our visitors' browsing experience, TeleTrade uses cookies in our web services. By continuing to browse this site you agree to our use of cookies. You may change your cookie consent or view our cookie declaration here.

TeleTrade-DJ International Consulting Ltd currently provides its services on a cross-border basis, within EEA states (except Belgium) under the MiFID passporting regime, and in selected 3rd countries. TeleTrade does not provide its services to residents or nationals of the USA.

Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.