Market news

14 August 2019

Germany: The end of a golden decade - ING

Analysts at ING are out with their afterthoughts on the German Q2 GDP release after the economy shrank by 0.1% QoQ in the second quarter.

“The available monthly data and the press release of the Statistical Agency suggest that private and government consumption were slightly up but trade and the construction sector were a drag on growth. Today’s GDP report definitely marks the end of a golden decade for the German economy. Since the end of the 2008/09 recession, the economy has grown by an average of 0.5% QoQ every quarter. In fact, the economy grew in 35 out of the last 40 quarters. However, under the surface of these impressive headline numbers, a worrisome trend has emerged. Since 3Q 2018, the economy has been in a de facto stagnation, with quarterly GDP growth at an average of zero percent.”

Market Focus
  • Swiss government raises 2019 GDP growth forecast to 0.9% from 0.8% previously
  • Fed keeps rates on hold, points to 'favourable' economic outlook next year
  • German consumer price growth stabilised in November
  • French consumer prices rose by 0.1% in November, as expected

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