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13 August 2019

Australia: focus on consumer sentiment and wages – TD Securities

Analysts at TD Securities note that Australia’s Westpac сonsumer sentiment print for July dropped to 2yr lows, -4% m/m.

  • “We had anticipated a bounce given the last survey covered the legislated tax cuts and RBA cut but there were substantial falls in expectations about personal finances and the economy over the next year and concerns about unemployment lifted sharply in NSW, Vic and WA. Let's see if sentiment improves.”
  • “For Q2 wages, we forecast 0.55% q/q and 2.3% y/y. Annual wage growth has been moving at a glacial pace. At 2.3% y/y, this is tracking well below levels implied by the underutilisation rate that suggest annual wages growth should be closer to 2.9%. However, we don't expect wage pressures to pick up materially given there are more unemployed than there are vacancies.”

Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer.

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