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16.02.2016 07:02

Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the New Zealand dollar dropped

Economic calendar (GMT0):

Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual

00:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

02:00 China New Loans January 597.8 1800 2510

The euro declined slightly ahead of euro zone consumer confidence data. Economists expect to see a decline amid market turbulence in February. Market participants are also waiting for minutes of January ECB meeting. The central bank is expected to add stimulus in March, that's why the minutes will be studied carefully.

The New Zealand dollar dropped after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand published its inflation expectations. The index came in at 1.6% in the first quarter of 2016 compared to its previous reading of 1.9%. This index reflects business managers' expectations regarding the annualized CPI over a two-year period of time. Higher expectations may provoke rate increases. Lower expectations are a negative factor for the NZD. The country's retail sales data were released today. Retail sales rose by 1.2% in the fourth quarter of 2015 missing expectations for a 1.4% rise.

Global Dairy Trade auction will take place at 12:00 GMT today. Milk powder is New Zealand's key export product. Analysts expect prices to fall by about 8%. This would weigh on the New Zealand dollar.

The yen declined after Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said that excessive currency volatility was undesirable noting the yen's rally last week. He added that Tokyo would take steps if needed.

EUR/USD: the pair fluctuated within $1.1145-80 in Asian trade

USD/JPY: the pair traded within Y111.30-85

GBP/USD: the pair traded within $1.4415-55

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

(time / country / index / period / previous value / forecast)

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) January -0.8% -1.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y January 1.2% 1.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) January -0.2% -0.2%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) January -10.8% -8.8%

09:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) January -1.2% -0.9%

09:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m January 0.3% -0.6%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m January 0.1% -0.7%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y January 0.2% 0.3%

09:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y January 1.4% 1.3%

10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment February 22.7 10.3

10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment February 10.2 0

13:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) December 1% 0.7%

13:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index February -19.37 -10

15:00 U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index February 60 60

21:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows December -3.2

21:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows December 31.4

23:30 Australia Leading Index January -0.3%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders December -14.4% 4.7%

23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y December 1.2% -3.1%

Market Focus

  • US nonfarm payrolls rise more than expected in July
  • Canada’s merchandise trade deficit widens in June
  • Canada unemployment rate falls to lowest level since October 2008
  • Canada Ivey PMI falls less than expected in July
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