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30.09.2015 12:06

Foreign exchange market. European session: the euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the mostly negative economic data from the Eurozone

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

00:00 New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence September -29.1 -18.9

01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, m/m August 0.6% 0.5% 0.6%

01:30 Australia Private Sector Credit, y/y August 6.1% 6.3%

01:30 Australia Building Permits, m/m August 7.9% Revised From 4.2% -2% -6.9%

05:00 Japan Construction Orders, y/y August -4.0% -15.6%

05:00 Japan Housing Starts, y/y August 7.4% 7.8% 8.8%

06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index, y/y September 3.2% 3.8% 3.8%

06:00 United Kingdom Nationwide house price index September 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%

06:00 Germany Retail sales, real adjusted August 1.6% Revised From 1.4% 0.2% -0.4%

06:00 Germany Retail sales, real unadjusted, y/y August 3.8% Revised From 3.3% 3.1% 2.5%

06:00 Switzerland UBS Consumption Indicator August 1.59 Revised From 1.64 1.63

07:00 Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator September 101.2 Revised From 100.7 100.9 100.4

07:55 Germany Unemployment Change September -6 -5 2

07:55 Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. September 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Current account, bln Quarter II -24 Revised From -26.6 -22.25 -16.8

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, q/q (Finally) Quarter II 0.4% 0.7% 0.7%

08:30 United Kingdom GDP, y/y (Finally) Quarter II 2.7% Revised From 2.9% 2.6% 2.4%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI, Y/Y (Preliminary) September 0.1% 0% -0.1%

09:00 Eurozone Harmonized CPI ex EFAT, Y/Y (Preliminary) September 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%

09:00 Eurozone Unemployment Rate August 11% Revised From 10.9% 10.9% 11%

11:00 U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications September 13.9% -6.7%

12:00 U.S. FOMC Member Dudley Speak

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead the release of the U.S. economic data. According to the ADP employment report, the U.S. economy is expected to add 194,000 jobs in September.

The Chicago purchasing managers' index is expected to decline to 53.0 in September from 54.4 in August.

Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen will speak at 19:00 GMT.

The euro traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the mostly negative economic data from the Eurozone. Eurostat released its consumer price inflation data for the Eurozone on Wednesday. The preliminary consumer price inflation in the Eurozone declined to an annual rate of -0.1% in September from 0.1% in August, missing expectations for a fall to 0.0%.

The preliminary consumer price inflation excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco remained unchanged at an annual rate of 0.9% in September.

Food, alcohol and tobacco prices were up 1.4% in September, non-energy industrial goods prices gained 0.3%, and services prices climbed 1.3%, while energy prices dropped 8.9%.

Eurozone's unemployment rate remained unchanged at 11.0% in August. July's figure was revised up from 10.9%. Analysts had expected the unemployment rate to fall to 10.9%.

The Federal Labour Agency released its unemployment figures for Germany on Wednesday. The number of unemployed people in Germany climbed by 2,000 in September, missing expectations for a 5,000 decline, after a 6,000 decrease in August.

The number of unemployed people was 1.90 million in August, according to Destatis.

Destatis said that Germany's adjusted unemployment rate fell to 4.5% in August from 4.6% in July.

According to Destatis, German adjusted retail sales decreased 0.4% in August, missing forecasts of a 0.2% gain, after a 1.6% rise in July. July's figure was revised up from a 1.4% increase.

On a yearly basis, German retail sales jumped 2.5% in August, missing expectations for a 3.1% gain, after a 3.8% rise in July. July's figure was revised up from a 3.3% increase.

Sales of non-food products increased at an annual rate of 1.1% in August, while sales of food products climbed by 3.9%.

The British pound traded higher against the U.S. dollar after the mixed economic data from the U.K. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) released its final gross domestic product (GDP) data on Wednesday. The final U.K. GDP expanded at 0.7% in the second quarter, in line with August's estimate, after a 0.4% rise in the first quarter.

On a yearly basis, the revised U.K. GDP rose 2.4% in the second quarter, missing August's estimate of a 2.6% increase, after a 2.7% gain in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised down from a 2.9% rise

The downward revision was partly driven by a slower pace of the services sector. The service sector climbed 0.2% in July, compared with a 0.6% rise in June.

The U.K. current account deficit narrowed to £16.8 billion in the second quarter from £24.0 billion in the first quarter. The first quarter's figure was revised up from a deficit of £26.6 billion.

Analysts had expected the current account deficit to decrease to £22.25 billion.

The second quarter's current account deficit amounted to 3.6% of GDP, the lowest share of GDP in two years.

Declines in the current account deficit were driven by a drop in the deficit on the trade account and a decline in the deficit on the primary income account.

The Canadian dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar ahead of the release of Canadian gross domestic product, which is expected to increase 0.2% in July, after a 0.5% rise in June.

The Swiss franc traded higher against the U.S. dollar after of the release of the mixed Swiss economic data. The Swiss Economic Institute KOF released its leading indicator for Switzerland on Wednesday. The KOF leading indicator declined to 100.4 in September from 101.2 in August, missing expectations for a decline to 100.9. July's figure was revised up from 100.7.

According to the institute, the outlook for the Swiss economy remained unchanged since August.

UBS released its consumption index for Switzerland on Wednesday. The UBS consumption index increased to 1.63 in August from 1.59 in July. July's figure was revised down from 1.64.

The increase was driven by a rise in employment in the second quarter.

Retailer sentiment was slightly less negative, while consumer sentiment rose.

EUR/USD: the currency pair declined to $1.1201

GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.5212

USD/JPY: the currency pair rose to Y120.34

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:15 U.S. ADP Employment Report September 190 194

12:30 Canada GDP (m/m) July 0.5% 0.2%

13:45 U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index September 54.4 53

19:00 U.S. Fed Chairman Janet Yellen Speaks

23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index Quarter III 15 13

23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index Quarter III 23 20

30.09.2015 11:45

Orders

Market Focus

  • US nonfarm payrolls rise more than expected in July
  • Canada’s merchandise trade deficit widens in June
  • Canada unemployment rate falls to lowest level since October 2008
  • Canada Ivey PMI falls less than expected in July
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