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1:30 Australia Consumer Price Index q / q II m +0.6% +0.5% +0.5%
01:30 AU CPI y / y +2.9% m II +3.1% +3.0%
08:30 UK approved applications for mortgage loans as BBA, th June 41.9 43.4 43.3
08:30 UK BoE Minutes
10:00 UK Retail sales according to the Confederation of British Industry on July 4 18 21
11:45 UK Speech BOE Mark Carney
Pound fell sharply against the dollar, while setting a new minimum in July, which was associated with the publication of minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England and the data on mortgage lending. Minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England from July 9-10, showed that members of the Committee, as expected, voted unanimously to maintain interest rates unchanged at a record low 0.5%, and for the preservation of the current size of its asset purchase program £ 375 billion in addition, the Central Bank mentioned that the strengthening of the pound may reflect the performance of the British economy in comparison with other countries. Economy continues to grow modestly, but some indicators warn of a possible slowdown in the speed of the 2nd half. Meanwhile, the Central Bank has suggested that a potential threat to economic recovery in the event of a rate hike now decreased, and a number of representatives MPC noted that over the past few months, the balance of factors in favor of tightening has become more balanced. However, the Central Bank did not mention the possible timing of the first rate hike, explaining that they will depend on the data.
As for the report, it showed: in the past month, the number of approved applications for mortgage loans increased slightly, recovering from a nine-month low, which was recorded in April and May. But despite the increase, the last value was slightly less than the average forecast of experts. According to the report, the number of mortgage approvals for house purchase rose in June to 43,265, compared with the revised figure for May at 41 881 (originally reported 41.8 million). Compared with the same period last year, the number of approved loans increased by 14 percent. In the British Bankers Association reported that the July increase was the first after the mortgage lenders have introduced more stringent lending criteria in April.
The euro was little changed against the dollar, while continuing to bargain about eight-month low. Affect the course of trading yesterday the U.S. inflation data. Recall that inflation in the U.S. in June coincided with the forecast, rising by 0.3 percent, but core inflation - excluding prices for food and energy - was 0.1 percent, which is twice lower than forecast. Despite this, the market still expects the Fed will continue to reduce the bond purchase program and start raising interest rates in the second half of 2015. Experts note that the U.S. will raise interest rates next year, while in Europe the opposite is possible easing.
Slight pressure on the euro have concerns about Russia. It is expected that the EU will introduce new sanctions against the Russian Federation.
The Australian dollar continued its rise and came close to the maximum on July 7. The course of trade is still affecting the publication of the government report on the level of annual inflation, which accelerated at the fastest pace in four years. Core inflation index, according to the Central Bank (by the trimmed mean) rose by 0.8% compared with the previous quarter. In accordance with the average forecast of economists index had gained 0.6%. The consumer price index rose by 0.5% compared with the previous three months, which corresponds to the economists.
In addition, the Australian dollar rose as investors expect that in the coming months, the Reserve Bank of Australia, led by Glenn Stevens will not reduce the interest rate, which is already at a record low level of 2.5%. According to recent polls traders, chances are that the Central Bank will cut rates by December is only 17%, whereas a week ago, the probability was 36%.
EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair traded in the range of $ 1.3453 - $ 1.3472
GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.7029
USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y101.31
At 12:30 GMT, Canada announces the change of volume of retail sales for May. At 21:00 GMT New Zealand RBNZ decision will be announced on the basic interest rate and will cover the RBNZ statement. At 22:45 GMT New Zealand will report on its trade balance for June. At 23:50 GMT, Japan declares total foreign trade balance for June.
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