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15.07.2014 12:00

Foreign exchange market. European session: the British pound surged against the U.S. dollar after the inflation data from UK and testimony by the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney

Economic calendar (GMT0):

(Time/ Region/ Event/ Period/ Previous/ Forecast/ Actual)

01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) June +0.3% +1.7%

01:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) June -2.0% -2.2%

03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%

03:00 Japan Bank of Japan Monetary Base Target 270 270 270

03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, m/m June +0.1% +0.3% 0.0%

07:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y June -0.8% -0.8%

07:30 Japan BOJ Press Conference

08:30 United Kingdom Retail Price Index, m/m June +0.1% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Retail prices, Y/Y June +2.4% +2.4% +2.6%

08:30 United Kingdom RPI-X, Y/Y June +2.5%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) June -0.9% +0.3% -0.8%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (YoY) June -5.0% -4.4%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) June -0.1% +0.1% -0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) June +0.5% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, m/m June -0.1% +0.2%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP, Y/Y June +1.5% +1.6% +1.9%

08:30 United Kingdom HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y June +1.6% +1.7% +2.0%

09:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment July 58.6 62.3 61.8

09:00 United Kingdom BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks

09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment July 29.8 33.4 27.1

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of congressional testimony by Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen today. Markets participants are awaiting new information on when the Fed could start to increase its interest rate.

The euro dropped against the U.S. dollar after the weaker-than-expected German ZEW economic sentiment index, but later recovered its losses. The ZEW economic sentiment index for Germany declined to 27.1 in July from 29.8 in June, missing expectations for an increase to 33.4. That was the seventh straight decline in seven months.

The ZEW economic sentiment index for the Eurozone increased to 61.8 in July from 58.4 in June, missing expectations for a rise to 62.3.

The British pound surged against the U.S. dollar after the inflation data from UK and testimony by the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney. The consumer price index in the UK increased 0.2% in June, after a 0.1% decline in May.

On a yearly basis, UK consumer price index rose 1.9% in June, exceeding expectations for a 1.6% gain, after a 1.5% rise in May.

The house price inflation jumped to 10.5% in May from 9.9% in April.

The retail price index for the UK increased to 2.6% in June from 2.4% in May. Analysts had expected the index to remain unchanged at 2.4%.

The Bank of England Governor Mark Carney testified to parliament's Treasury committee. He said that the timing of the first interest rate hike by the BoE would be "driven by the data".

The Swiss franc traded mixed against the U.S. dollar. The producer & import prices in Switzerland were flat in June, missing forecasts of a 0.3% rise, after a 0.1% increase in May.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.7164

USD/JPY: the currency pair traded mixed

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

12:30 U.S. Retail sales June +0.3% +0.6%

12:30 U.S. Retail sales excluding auto June +0.1% +0.5%

12:30 U.S. NY Fed Empire State manufacturing index July 19.3 17.4

12:30 U.S. Import Price Index June +0.1% +0.5%

14:00 U.S. Business inventories May +0.6% +0.6%

14:00 U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen Testifies

22:45 New Zealand CPI, q/q Quarter II +0.3% +0.5%

22:45 New Zealand CPI, y/y Quarter II +1.5%

Market Focus

  • The Bank of Japan decided by a 7-2 majority vote to hold the interest rate at -0.10%
  • Earnings Season in U.S.: Major Reports of the Week
  • U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 4.7 million barrels from the previous week
  • Australian unemployment rate stable at 5.6% in June
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