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14.05.2014 09:22

Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the Australian dollar increased to 1-month highs against the U.S. dollar, supported by the Australian federal budget 2014

Economic calendar (GMT0):

06:00    Germany             CPI, m/m (Finally)                               April      -0.2%    -0.2%     -0.3%

06:00    Germany             CPI, y/y (Finally)                                 April      +1.3%   +1.3%    +1.1%

06:00    Japan                  Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y         April      +41.8%               +48.8%

06:45    France                 CPI, m/m                                           April      +0.4%   +0.2%      0.0%

06:45    France                 CPI, y/y                                             April      +0.6%                 +0.8%

08:30    United Kingdom   Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y April      +1.4%                  +1.3%

08:30    United Kingdom   Average Earnings, 3m/y                     March     +1.7%   +2.2%  +1.7%

08:30    United Kingdom   Claimant count                                   April      -30.4      -31.2       -25.1

08:30    United Kingdom   Claimant Count Rate                          April        3.4%                    3.3%

08:30    United Kingdom   ILO Unemployment Rate                    March     6.9%      6.8%      6.8%

09:00    Eurozone             Industrial production, (MoM)               March     +0.2%   -0.3%     -0.3%

09:00    Eurozone             Industrial Production (YoY)                 March    +1.7%                  -0.1%

09:00    Switzerland          Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations) March   7.0                      7.4

The U.S. dollar traded lower against the most major currencies. Yesterday’s released U.S. retail sales has been weaker than expected. U.S. retail sales increased 0.1% in April, from a 1.2% rise in March. March’s figure was revised up from 1.1%. Analysts had expected an increase of 0.5%. U.S. retail sales excluding autos were flat in April (March: +0.7%). Analysts had forecasted a 0.6% increase.

The New Zealand dollar traded higher against the U.S. dollar despite the lower-than-expected retail sales data from New Zealand. Retail sales in New Zealand increased 0.7% in the first quarter, from a 1.2% rise in the previous quarter. Analysts had expected a 0.9% increase. Retail sales excluding automobiles and gas stations climbed 0.8% in the first quarter, from a 1% increase in the previous quarter. The fourth quarter figure was revised up from 0.7%. Analysts had forecasted a 0.9% gain.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand released its Financial Stability Report. House sales declined 11% between October and March since the central bank imposed the restrictions on high loan-to-value ratio lending.

The Australian dollar increased to 1-month highs against the U.S. dollar, supported by the Australian federal budget 2014. Australia's Treasury released the federal budget for 2014 – 2015 on Tuesday. Australia's treasurer Joe Hockey said that the government aims to halve its budget deficit over the next year. The Australian government wants to cut tax increases and spending cuts in the budget to achieve its goal. Australia's Treasury forecast a deficit of A$29.8 billion during the twelve months ended June 2015. The real GDP should grow 2.5% in 2014 – 2015.

The Japanese yen increased against the U.S. dollar, supported by the better-than-expected economic data out of Japan. Corporate Goods Price Index (CGPI) increased 4.1% in April, from a 1.7% rise in March. Machine tool orders (preliminary) rose 48.8% in April, from a 41.8% gain in March.

EUR/USD: the currency pair increased to $1.3720

GBP/USD: the currency pair climbed to $1.6870

USD/JPY: the currency pair declined to Y102.10

AUD/USD: the currency pair climbed to $0.9397

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

09:30    United Kingdom     BOE Inflation Letter                           Quarter II                                          

09:30    United Kingdom     BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks                                                

12:30    U.S.                       PPI, m/m                                           April      +0.5%  +0.2%  

12:30    U.S.                       PPI, y/y                                             April      +1.4%                 

12:30    U.S.                       PPI excluding food and energy, m/m April      +0.6%  +0.2%  

12:30    U.S.                       PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y   April      +1.4%                 

14:30    Eurozone               ECB's Jens Weidmann Speaks                                                                  

22:30    New Zealand          Business NZ PMI                                 April      58.4                     

23:50    Japan                    Tertiary Industry Index                      March     -1.0%   +2.5%  

23:50    Japan                    GDP, q/q (Preliminary)                       Quarter I +0.2%  +1.0%  

23:50    Japan                    GDP, y/y                                           Quarter I +2.6%

Market Focus

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  • Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, January -4.9
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