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18.03.2014 13:15

European session: the euro declined significantly against the U.S. dollar


00:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes

01:30 China Property Prices, y/y February +9.6% +8.7%

06:45 Switzerland SECO Economic Forecasts Quarter II

10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment March 68.5 67.3 61.5

10:00 Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. January 13.7 13.9

10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment March 55.7 52.8 46.6

12:30 Canada Manufacturing Shipments (MoM) January -1.5% Revised From -0.9% +1.1% +1.5%

12:30 U.S. Building Permits, mln February 950 Revised From 937 960 1018

12:30 U.S. Housing Starts, mln February 910 Revised From 880 910 910

12:30 U.S. CPI, m/m February +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI, Y/Y February +1.6% +1.2% +1.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, m/m February +0.1% +0.1% +0.1%

12:30 U.S. CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y February +1.6% +1.6% +1.6%

13:00 U.S. Net Long-term TIC Flows January -45.9 23.4 7.3

13:00 U.S. Total Net TIC Flows January -126.7 Revised From -119.6 83

The euro exchange rate rose sharply against the dollar, but could not resist the vicinity of achieved values ​​, and fell to session lows . Initially influenced the course of trading weak data for the euro area and Germany, but active buying dips and words of Russian President Putin promoted a marked increase . Nevertheless , submitted after U.S. data back to previous levels euros .

As for the data , they showed that the economic expectations for Germany deteriorated significantly in March , beating forecasts while most experts . It became known from the results of recent studies that were presented today by the Centre for European Economic Research ZEW. According to the index of economic confidence fell this month to the level of 46.6 points, compared with 55.7 points in February . Many experts expect that this figure will drop 52.8 . Meanwhile, we note that the index of the current economic situation has improved to 51.3 points from 50 a month earlier. Nevertheless , it remained below the expected level of 52 points . Also, the data showed that economic expectations in the euro area declined by 7 points - to 61.5 points . In contrast, the current economic situation indicator increased by 3.5 points - to 36.7 points.

Meanwhile, U.S. data showed that consumer price index rose by 0.1 % and building permits - to 1018 thousand units.

Pound weakened significantly against the U.S. dollar , updating intraday lows below $ 1.6600 . Many market participants are waiting for tonight's speech by Bank of England Governor Mark Carney . It is unlikely he will tell something new markets , but another piece of " dovish " statements may have a couple more substantial pressure . From the point of view of fundamental factors , this week promises to be very intense. Next report will be a key labor market indicators , the report and the Bank of England meeting FOMC.

The yen is trading with a noticeable increase against the U.S. dollar . Markets continue to play up the theme of the Crimea, and according to recent reports , Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree recognizing the Republic of Crimea as a sovereign and independent state , which creates prerequisites for joining the peninsula to Russia . In light of the current situation, the EU and the United States imposed sanctions against certain officials of Russia and Ukraine , the number reached 21 people . According to Europe and America , these people are guilty of infringing on the sovereignty of Ukraine . In this list of Russian President Vladimir Putin did not hit, although it is expected the introduction of further sanctions in the event of further intervention by Russia . Markets remain relatively calm and safe-haven rally stopped . In general, the market situation in the Crimea scenario assumes preservation " wait and see ."

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3889

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.6572

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair dropped to Y101.30

At 21:45 GMT New Zealand will report on the current account balance of the balance of payments for the 4th quarter . At 23:30 GMT Australia will index of leading indicators of economic activity from the Westpac-MI in February. At 23:50 GMT , Japan declares total foreign trade balance for February.

Market Focus

  • The Bank of Japan decided by a 7-2 majority vote to hold the interest rate at -0.10%
  • Earnings Season in U.S.: Major Reports of the Week
  • U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 4.7 million barrels from the previous week
  • Australian unemployment rate stable at 5.6% in June
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