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22.01.2014 13:15

European session: british pound rose substantially against the U.S. dollar


00:30 Australia Consumer Price Index m / m +1.2 % III m +0.5 % +0.8%

00:30 Australia Consumer Price Index y / y III quarter +2.2% +2.5 % +2.7 %

03:00 Japan Interest Rate Decision Bank of Japan 0.10% 0.10 % 0.10%

03:00 Japan monetary base Trust Bank of Japan, trillion yen 270,270,270

03:00 Comments Japan BoJ monetary policy

04:30 Japan PMI in all sectors, m / m in November -0.2% +0.4% +0.3%

07:30 Press Conference Japan Bank of Japan

09:00 Switzerland World Economic Forum Annual

09:30 UK Change of average earnings (excluding bonuses) , 3 m / y November +0.8% +1.0 % +0.9 %

09:30 UK Change of average earnings , 3 m / y November +0.9 % +1.1 % +0.9 %

09:30 UK BoE Minutes

09:30 UK Net borrowing state . sector , 15.1 billion in December Revised 14.8 12.3 10.3

09:30 UK Number of applications for unemployment benefits , th December -34.3 -36.7 -32.3 Revised to -24.0

09:30 UK jobless claims level of employment in December 3.8 % 3.7 % 3.7%

09:30 UK ILO unemployment rate in November 7.4 % 7.3 % 7.1%

10:00 Switzerland Index according to the expectations of investors and Credit Suisse ZEW January 39.4 44.0 36.4

Rate of the euro regained almost all previously lost ground against the dollar , as the participants' attention gradually switched to tomorrow's data for the euro area . Note that on Thursday will present data on the PMI indices for Germany and the euro zone in January . These figures have been mainly in the expansion over the past six months , but close to the mark of 50 points, which separates expansion from contraction. In addition, they showed that not much is happening in the Eurozone economy , although the German economy continues to show a slight increase, which was observed until now. Thus , a number of better-than -expected readings on the PMI will be a " breath of fresh air " in this area. Meanwhile, add that, given the fact that the World Bank raised its growth forecast for developed countries, the last reading is likely to help confirm this improvement . According to the average forecast in January PMI for the manufacturing sector is expected at 53.2 compared to 52.7 last month , and PMI for the services sector - at the level of 51.5 , compared with 51.0 in December.

Pound rose sharply against the U.S. dollar , which helped data that showed that the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level in nearly five years , while approaching to the 7 percent threshold at which the Bank of England officials may begin to reconsider the amount of the asset purchase program . According to the report , the unemployment rate , as measured by the standards of the International Labour Organization , fell to 7.1 percent in the three months to November , compared with 7.4 per cent , which were recorded in the previous three-month period ( October) . Office for National Statistics said that according to the median forecast of economists unemployment was down to 7.3 percent . In addition, it was reported that in December, the number of applications for unemployment benefits fell by 24 thousand, which was much less than economists forecast - at 32.3 thousand Meanwhile, the report showed that the number of unemployed fell by 167,000 to 2.32 million in the three months to November compared with the previous three-month period . Add that it was the biggest decline since October 1997 and the second largest since records began this statistic in 1971.

The Canadian dollar rose slightly against the U.S. dollar in anticipation of the decision of the Bank of Canada. The Bank of Canada is likely to leave rates unchanged at 1%, but all the attention will be focused on the accompanying statement . It is assumed that the monetary authorities will focus again on inflation below the target level , resorting to rhetoric pigeon . However , the Bank is unlikely to be mention of further easing . Governor of the Bank of Canada Stephen Poloz previously reported that it will not raise rates until the employment will not rise and consumer spending will not recover . And since employment in Canada declined by 45 thousand in the last month , it is clear that the economy is still far from those conditions which , according to the runners needed to improve . However, the program can help minimize the Fed CB. Since Canada bond yields rising amid rising yields in the U.S. are growing and long-term rates in Canada .

Yen demonstrates mixed against the dollar, which has been associated with the decision the Bank of Japan to refrain from expanding the program of monetary stimulus . We also add that the Bank of Japan left unchanged targets expansion of the monetary base in the range of 60 trillion yen to 70 trillion yen ( $ 671 billion ) a year and confirmed forecast that core inflation in the 2015 fiscal year , which begins in April , will be on level of 1.9%. Fewer economists expect that the Central Bank will go to expand stimulus measures in 2014, as inflation accelerating. The dollar index fell , retreating from a two-week high on speculation that the Fed meeting on January 28-29, reduce the purchase of assets by $ 10 billion to $ 65 billion a month, and will continue to minimize the QE at the same pace in future meetings .

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3533 , but then returned to session highs

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6564

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair rose to Y104.75 from Y103.95, and then decreased slightly

At 15:00 GMT held publication of the report of the Bank of Canada's monetary policy for the 1st quarter , and the decision will be announced on the Bank of Canada on the basic interest rate. Also during this time will cover the Bank of Canada statement . At 16:15 GMT will be a press conference by the Bank of Canada . At 21:30 GMT New Zealand will index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of Business NZ in December.

22.01.2014 13:00


Market Focus

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