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01.10.2013 06:20

Asian session: The dollar fell

00:00 China Bank holiday

01:00 China Manufacturing PMI September 51.0 51.6 51.1

01:30 Australia Retail sales (MoM) August +0.1% +0.3% +0.4%

01:30 Australia Retail Sales Y/Y August +2.0% Revised From +1.9% +2.3%

01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY August +0.1% Revised From +0.4% -0.2% -0.6%

04:30 Australia Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%

04:30 Australia RBA Rate Statement

The dollar fell to the lowest since Jan. 3 versus the pound as the U.S. government sped toward a partial shutdown with no sign of a last-minute deal on funding. The Senate voted 54-46 to reject the House’s third version of a short-term extension of government funding that delays the 2010 Affordable Care Act, putting pressure back on House Speaker John Boehner and the Republicans. Barring a last-minute compromise or concession, the U.S. appears headed for its first shutdown in 17 years. The decision will come during trading hours in Asia today.

The U.S. currency dropped against most major peers last month as the wrangling between Senate Democrats and House Republicans threatened to stunt growth at a time when the central bank is weighing a tapering of stimulus.

The yen slid after a report showed confidence among Japan’s large manufacturers rose to the highest since the early stages of the global credit crisis in 2007, with Prime Minister Abe due to decide today whether the economy is strong enough to sustain a planned sales-tax rise next year. The quarterly Tankan index for big manufacturers climbed to 12 in September from 4 in June, the BOJ said today. That exceeded the 7 median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair rose to $ 1.3550

GBP / USD: during the Asian session, the pair rose to $ 1.6245

USD / JPY: during the Asian session the pair traded in the range of Y98.00-75

There is a full data calendar on both sides of the Atlantic Tuesday, although the release of official US government data is likely to be delayed as the partial government shutdown kicked in at midnight DC time. The European calendar starts at 0600GMT, when the German August ILO data is released. At 0700GMT, French September car registration data will cross the wires. Possibly the main releases of the morning session include the euro area final manufacturing PMI data. The first release comes at 0713GMT when Spanish data crosses, followed by Italy at 0743GMT, France at 0748GMT, Germany at 0753GMT and the consolidated euro area data at 0758GMT. Also due at 0755GMT are the official German unemployment numbers. At 0800GMT, the German August VDMA machinery orders data will cross the wires. German Bundesbank Board member Andreas Dombret will speak on the "Holistic Approaches to Solve the Euro Crisis" during Global Economic Symposium 2013, in Kiel, Germany, at 0845GMT. The last scheduled Euro area data is expected at 0900GMT, when the August unemployment data will cross the wires.

Market Focus

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  • U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 4.7 million barrels from the previous week
  • Australian unemployment rate stable at 5.6% in June
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