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15.10.2012 06:00

Asian session: The euro weakened

 

 

00:30 Australia Home Loans August -1.0% +1.4% +1.0%

00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (MoM) September +3.6% +4.7%

00:30 Australia New Motor Vehicle Sales (YoY) September +6.4% +14.4%

01:30 China CPI y/y September +2.0% +1.9% +1.9%

01:30 China PPI y/y September -3.5% -3.4% -3.6%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (finally) August -1.3% -1.3% -1.6%

04:30 Japan Industrial Production (YoY) (finally) August -4.3% -4.6%


The euro weakened as concern that growth and sentiment in the 17-nation region is faltering overshadowed prospects that a leaders’ meeting this week will lead to solutions to the debt crisis. EU leaders will meet in Brussels on Oct. 18-19 as Greece seeks to justify renewed aid and Spain holds out on tapping a 500-billion ($645.4 billion) permanent rescue fund, the European Stability Mechanism. The euro fell versus most of its major peers amid uncertainty over whether Spain will seek a bailout and before a report forecast to show investor confidence weakened in Germany, the region’s biggest economy. The ZEW Center for European Economic Research will probably say its index of expectations among German investors and analysts was at minus 14.9 this month from minus 18.2 in September, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey. ZEW is due to release the figures tomorrow, and its gauge for current conditions dropped to 11.8 in October from 12.6 in the previous period, analysts predicted.

The Australian dollar dropped before the Reserve Bank releases tomorrow minutes of its October meeting, while its New Zealand counterpart slid after a report showed services shrank. Bank of New Zealand Ltd. and Business New Zealand said today that their Performance of Services Index fell to 49.6 in September. It was the first time since October 2009 that the gauge was below 50, the dividing line between expansion and contraction.


EUR / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to $1.2900.

GBP / USD: during the Asian session the pair fell to the floor of a figure to $1.6025.

USD / JPY: during the Asian session, the pair rose to Y78.60, updating week’s high.


At 1515GMT, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso and European Council President Herman Van Rompuy are to speak at the opening conference of Single Market Week, in Brussels. On the other side of the Atlantic, the US retail sales data for  September are released at 1230GMT. Retail sales are expected to rise 0.8% in September after sharp gains in the previous two months. Also at 1230GMT, the U.S. NY Fed Empire State Survey is released. The Index is expected to rise to a reading of -4.0 in October after falling sharply in both August and September to levels below the breakeven point.  Its a heavy day fro Fed speak, starting at 1245GMT, when New York Federal Reserve Bank Pres. William Dudley speaks to the 54th Annual NABE meeting on the "Intersection Between Finance and Real Activity."  At 1400GMT, the September Business Inventories data is  due. Fed speakers continue at 1645GMT, when Richmond Federal Reserve Bank Pres. Jeffrey Lacker speaks to business and government leaders in Roanoke, Va., on the topic of "Economic Outlook, October 2012." At 1710GMT, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank Pres. James Bullard speaks to the 3rd Annual Economic Forum of the Missouri Council on Economic Education on the topic of the "U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy," and answering questions from the audience and the media. Lastly, at 0030GMT San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank Pres. John Williams speaks to the Financial Women's Association on "A rospective on the Economy," after which he answers questions from the audience.

Market Focus

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  • U.S.: Nonfarm Payrolls, January 227 (forecast 175)
  • Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, January -4.9
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