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01.02.2012 09:23

Asian session: The euro maintained a two-day decline

00:00 Australia HIA New Home Sales, m/m December +6.8% -4.9%

00:30 Australia House Price Index (QoQ) IV quarter -1.2% -0.7% -1.0%

00:30 Australia House Price Index (YoY) IV quarter -2.2% -3.3% -4.8%

01:00 China Manufacturing PMI January 50.3 49.8 50.5

01:30 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY December -1.0% -0.3% -0.2%

02:30 Сhina HSBC Manufacturing PMI (finally) January 48.7 48.8

05:30 Australia Commodity Prices, Y/Y January +10.9% +6.0%


The euro maintained a two-day decline as Greece struggles to conclude debt-swap talks with creditors by the end of this week.

The 17-nation currency touched a one-week low versus the yen before Portugal sells bills today amid concern the nation will follow Greece in needing more aid to avoid default. Portugal will sell 105-day and 168-day bills today. Standard & Poor’s increased the number of Portuguese banks on “creditwatch negative” after it cut the sovereign rating of the country. Yields (GSPT2YR) on Portugal’s two-year notes soared to a record 21.82 percent yesterday.

The Australian dollar maintained a gain from yesterday after a report showed manufacturing unexpectedly expanded last month in China, the South Pacific nation’s biggest trading partner.

Demand for the so-called Aussie was supported after a purchasing managers’ index for Chinese manufacturing rose to 50.5 from 50.3 in December, above the level of 50 that marks the division between contraction and expansion.

Australian house prices plunged by the most on record in 2011, figures from the statistics bureau showed today. Sales of newly built homes dropped in December after a revised 4.4 percent gain the previous month, according to a separate report from the Canberra-based Housing Industry Association.

New Zealand’s dollar, nicknamed the kiwi, slid as Asian stocks fell. Demand for both currencies was limited on speculation U.S. jobs data will point to a slowing recovery in the world’s largest economy, reducing demand for higher-yielding assets.


EUR/USD: during the Asian session the pair fell.

GBP/USD: during the Asian session the pair decreased.

USD/JPY: during the Asian session the pair was under pressure.


On Wednesday at 05:30 GMT Australia will publish the RBA Commodity Price SDR for January. Day will be continued by data on the SVME Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for January at 08:30 GMT Switzerland. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) in Germany will leave at 08:55, in the Eurozone - at 09:00 GMT and in Britain - at 09:30 GMT. At 10:00 GMT the Eurozone will publish an estimation of a consumer price index for January. Will continue put the block of statistics from the USA - The Employment Change released by the Automatic Data Processing for January (13:15 GMT), industrial index ISM (15:00 GMT), data on EIA Crude Oil Stock from the ministry of power (15:30 GMT). Will finish put New Zealand data on employment and unemployment (21:45 GMT).

Market Focus

  • U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 2.5 million barrels from the previous week
  • Canada: Retail Sales, m/m, November 0.2% (forecast 0.5%)
  • U.S.: Nonfarm Payrolls, January 227 (forecast 175)
  • Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, January -4.9
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