European session: The euro rose
06:00 Germany PPI (August) -0.3%
06:00 Germany PPI (August) Y/Y 5.5%
09:00 Germany ZEW economic expectations index (September) -43.3
The euro snapped two days of declines against the dollar as gains in European stocks boosted sentiment toward the currency on signs that talks aimed at staving off a Greek debt default were making progress.
The 17-nation currency erased a drop against the yen as Greece resumed talks with creditors as well as European Union and International Monetary Fund officials.
Standard & Poor’s cut its credit rating for Italy, which has Europe’s second-largest debt load, to A from A+ yesterday. The firm said Italy’s net general government debt is the highest among A rated sovereigns, and now expects it to peak later and at a higher level than it previously anticipated.
Italy follows Spain, Ireland, Portugal, Cyprus and Greece as euro-region countries having their credit ratings cut this year. The European Central Bank last month started buying Italian and Spanish government bonds after the region’s debt crisis pushed their yields to euro-era records.
Fed policy makers may decide to replace some of the short- term Treasuries in the Fed’s $1.65 trillion portfolio with longer-maturity debt in a bid to lower borrowing costs, according to economists at Wells Fargo & Co., Barclays Plc and Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
The euro pared declines against the dollar after data showed Germany’s investor confidence fell less than economists expected this month.
The ZEW Center for European Economic Research in Mannheim said its index of investor and analyst expectations, which aims to predict developments six months in advance, declined to minus 43.3 in September from minus 37.6 last month, the lowest since December 2008. Economists expected a drop to minus 45, according to the median estimate in a survey.
EUR/USD: the pair become stronger above $1.3700.
GBP/USD: the pair become stronger above $1.5700. USD/JPY: the pair holds Y76.40-Y76.60.US data released at 1230GMT includes August housing starts and building permits. The pace of housing starts is expected to slow further to a 580,000 annual rate after falling in the previous month. Weak new home sales and the high inventory level of unsold existing homes continue to restrain new home building. At 1300GMT, the IMF releases its World Economic Outlook, with revised economic forecasts, with many expecting a downgrade of GDP forecasts. The FOMC begins its two-day monetary policy meeting, a meeting expended from 1-day to 2, for the members to explore further exceptional measures available to the Fed.