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13.07.2011 07:55

Forex: Tuesday's review

The 17-nation currency pared losses against its major counterparts after Luxembourg Finance Minister Luc Frieden said selective default on Greek debt isn’t an option “envisaged” by euro-region finance ministers and Italian government bonds reversed losses. The yen reached its strongest level against the dollar since the Group of Seven nations jointly intervened to weaken the currency.
The euro earlier dropped to the lowest level in four months versus the yen and the dollar after a meeting of European Union finance ministers failed to defuse the region’s escalating debt crisis.
The dollar erased gains versus the pound, Canadian dollar and Swedish krona after U.S. stock markets advanced after falling as much as 0.3 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index traded 0.2 percent higher.
The U.S. currency fell for a third day versus the yen before the Federal Reserve releases minutes today from its June meeting amid signs the nation’s recovery is faltering.
Minutes outline possible exit procedures but immediately backtrack by saying Fed is "prepared to make adjustments to its exit strategy if necessary in light of economic and financial developments" - and indeed key data has weakened since the meeting. Bernanke's testimony Wed-Thur should explain this; note that prior released central-tends already showed weaker outlook. 

EUR/USD: the pair shown low in  $1.3840 area then grown and finished session in $1.3970  area.
GBP/USD: the pair  shown low in  $1.5770 area then grown and finished the session in $1.5940  area.
USD/JPY: the pair   shown low in  Y78.50 area then grown and finished session above Y79.00.

At 0900GMT, EMU industrial output for May is expected to rise by 0.4% m/m, 4.8% y/y.
UK labour market data leads the UK calendar for Wednesday, with analysts focused on whether jobs growth will prove buoyant enough to 
absorb the slack created by imminent job losses in the public sector, although the axe has not yet been felt fully in many key departments and 
won't be until early 2012. The claimant count is expected to come in at 15k for June, leaving the June claimant count rate at 4.6%. The ILO  measure of May unemployment is expected to come in at 7.7% with average weekly earnings for May at 2.1% 3m/3m, 2.0% ex-bonus. 

13.07.2011 07:15

Stocks: Tuesday's review

Market Focus

  • The eurozone started the third quarter on a solid footing, according to PMI survey data
  • Earnings Season in U.S.: Major Reports of the Week
  • German private sector output growth slowed for the second month running in July
  • ECB's Mersch says as conditions normalise, it is unlikely that uncoventional policies will remain necessary
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