Forex: Thursday's review
The euro erased a decline against the dollar as Lucas Papademos, a former European Central Bank vice-president who’s now an adviser to the Greek government, said that restructuring the country’s debt is not necessary.
The shared currency earlier slid versus the greenback after officials from the European Union, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund began yesterday their fourth evaluation of Greece’s economy.
EU Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn said the delegation will need “a few weeks” to determine Greece’s financing needs and the potential size of any new aid.
The yen strengthened against most of its major counterparts as falling commodities and stocks prompted investors to unwind bets on higher-yielding assets.
Australia’s dollar was among the worst performers versus the greenback as China raised its banks’ reserve requirements to restrain prices, adding to the likelihood its growth will slow, and raw materials slid for a second day. The euro touched the lowest level against the dollar in more than six weeks as concern persisted that Greece will have to restructure debt.
EUR/USD: the pair shown low in the field of $1,4130 then grown and finished session in around $1,4240.
GBP/USD: the pair shown low in the field of $1,6230 then grown and finished session in around $1,6290.
USD/JPY: the pair bargained within the limits of Y80,70-Y81,30.
European data starts early, with the France flash Q1 GDP data, which is expected to come in at 0.6% q/q, 1.8% y/y. This is the first of the major Q1 flash GDP releases due this morning, which are likely to be seized upon by the press as showing the widening spread between the performance of the major economies and those on the periphery. The German GDP at 0600GMT is expected to show a rise of 1% q/q, 4.3% y/y.
US data starts at 1230GMT, when consumer prices are expected to reflect continued price pressures from food and energy, though to a lesser extent than in at the wholesale level. Overall CPI is forecast to rise 0.4% in April, while core CPI is expected to rise 0.1%. Then, at 1355GMT, the Michigan Sentiment Index is expected to rise slightly to a reading of 70.0 in early-May.