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07.04.2011 08:16

Forex: Wednesday's review

The euro rallied to its highest level against the dollar in more than 14 months on speculation the European Central Bank will increase borrowing costs further after raising its target lending rate tomorrow. 
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet signaled on March 3 that policy makers may raise the benchmark rate at their next meeting to curb inflation, which reached a two-year high of 2.6 percent last month.
The ECB will raise its main rate by 25 basis points from a record low 1 percent tomorrow, according to economists. 
Europe’s currency has gained 6.9 percent against the dollar this year as stronger economic growth in Germany and accelerating inflation boosted expectations that policy makers in the 17-member bloc will need to raise interest rates even as nations including Ireland and Portugal struggle to contain debt.
The yen tumbled against all of its major counterparts on bets the Bank of Japan will keep interest rates low as the nation recovers from the earthquake and tsunami while borrowing costs in other developed nations rise. The dollar slid against most of its peers while advancing to a six-month high versus the yen on the view that the Federal Reserve will trail other central banks in ending economic stimulus except the BOJ.
The Swiss franc gained versus most of its major counterparts, rising 0.8 percent to 91.77 centimes versus the dollar, as inflation unexpectedly accelerated in March.
Consumer prices increased 1 percent from a year earlier, the Federal Statistics Office reported. The median forecast of economists was for a 0.5 percent annual pace, the same as in the previous month.

EUR/USD: on results of yesterday's session the pair become stronger in around $1.4330. 
GBP/USD: the pair bargained within the limits of $1.6255-$ 1.6360.
USD/JPY: on results of yesterday's session the pair become stronger in around Y85.40.

German industrial output data is due at 10:00 GMT. This is followed at 1145GMT by the policy decision from the European Central Bank with the usual press conference led by ECB President Trichet starting from 1230GMT. 

The Bank of England policy announcement is due at 1100GMT.
US data includes Store Sales data for March, although scheduled releases start at 1230GMT, when initial jobless claims are expected to fall 3,000 to 385,000 in the April 2 week after falling 6,000 in the 
previous week. 

07.04.2011 08:19

Asian stocks close

Market Focus

  • The eurozone started the third quarter on a solid footing, according to PMI survey data
  • Earnings Season in U.S.: Major Reports of the Week
  • German private sector output growth slowed for the second month running in July
  • ECB's Mersch says as conditions normalise, it is unlikely that uncoventional policies will remain necessary
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