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03.02.2011 08:52

Asian session: The dollar gained

The dollar gained against most of its major peers before U.S. reports this week that may show services industries grew for a 14th month and hiring increased in January.

The euro held three days of gains versus the yen on prospects the European Central Bank will signal a willingness to tackle inflation when policy makers meet today as data showed rising prices. 
New Zealand’s dollar slid as the jobless rate rose and its finance minister said a shrinking fiscal deficit would reduce the need for higher interest rates.

EUR/USD: the pair bargained in the field of $1.3800.
GBP/USD: the pair bargained slightly below a mark $1.6200.
USD/JPY: the pair become stronger in around Y81.70.

This morning sees the release of the European state Services PMI releases with France at 0848GMT and Germany at 0853GMT, leading up to the release of EMU final services PMI at 0858GMT, which showed a preliminary reading of 55.2. EMU retail trade data for December is due at 1000GMT and is expected to come in at 0.4% m/m, 0.2% y/y. 
The main event comes at 1245GMT when the ECB announces it's policy decision, and at 1330GMT, when ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet gives the usual press conference in Frankfurt. 
UK CIPS Services PMI data is also due, at 0928GMT, and is expected to rise to a reading of 52.0.
US data includes Store Sales data, although scheduled data also starts at 1330GMT, with the latest Jobless Claims and Non-farm Productivity, Unit Labor Costs data. Initial jobless claims are expected to fall to a level of 425,000 in the January 29 week after surging on weather-related claims in the previous week, while non-farm productivity is expected to be +2.0% on the +3.2% in GDP output. Unit labor costs are forecasted to decrease by 0.1%, the same as it was in the third quarter. US data continues at 1500GMT with the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and also Factory Orders.
The ISM non-manufacturing index is expected to decline just slightly to a reading of 57.0 in January from the unrevised 57.1 December reading, while factory new orders are expected to fall by 0.4% on the already-announced 2.5% drop in durable goods orders. The weekly EIA Natural Gas Stocks data then follows, at 1530GMT. At 1730GMT, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks to reporters at  the National Press Club. 






Market Focus

  • Donald J. Trump was inaugurated as the 45th president of the United States
  • Canada: Retail Sales, m/m, November 0.2% (forecast 0.5%)
  • U.S.: Nonfarm Payrolls, January 227 (forecast 175)
  • Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, January -4.9
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