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31.01.2011 08:47

Asian session: The yen advanced

Data:
05:00 Japan Construction orders (December) Y/Y +13.1%

The yen traded near a one-week high against the euro on speculation Egypt’s political turmoil will destabilize the Middle East, spurring demand for safer assets.
The yen advanced versus higher-yielding currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars after Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak met with top military commanders yesterday as tens of thousands of protesters defied a curfew in central Cairo. 
The Swiss franc was close to its strongest level in two weeks versus the euro as Asian stocks extended a slump in shares worldwide. The South Korean won declined.
Demand for the euro was tempered on speculation this month’s 1.7 percent advance versus the dollar was excessive.

EUR/USD: pair the beginning week below a mark $1,3600. Become stronger in around $1,3630 later.
GBP/USD: the pair  become stronger in around $1,5880.
USD/JPY: the pair bargained within the limits of Y81,90-Y82,20.

UK data sees just Land Registry House Prices for December at 1100GMT
EMU flash HICP data for January is due at 1000GMT and is expected to 
US data starts at 1330GMT with Personal Income & Expenditures, PCE data as well as the ISM-NY Business Index. Personal income is expected to increase by 0.4% in December. Payroll rose 103,000 in the month, but hourly earnings were up only 0.1% and the workweek was unchanged. PCE is forecast to rise as well with an increase of 0.5% in the month, as 
retail sales rose 0.6% and non-auto sales were up 0.5%. The core PCE price index is expected to grow by 0.1%. US data continues at 1430 with the weekly MNI Capital Goods Index and then at 1445GMT with the Chicago PMI, which is expected to fall to a reading of 65.0 in January from the revised 66.8 December reading. Other regional data already released have 
suggested solid manufacturing sector expansion.
see a further rise in the inflation reading to 2.4% y/y.


31.01.2011 08:39

Forex: Weekly review

Market Focus

  • The eurozone started the third quarter on a solid footing, according to PMI survey data
  • Earnings Season in U.S.: Major Reports of the Week
  • German private sector output growth slowed for the second month running in July
  • ECB's Mersch says as conditions normalise, it is unlikely that uncoventional policies will remain necessary
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