Market Overview

9 June 2021 13:33

Lysakov Sergey

World markets are mainly treading water ahead of the U.S. inflation data due to be released this Thursday. The expert community survey by media giants Bloomberg and Reuters is expecting on average that the consumer price index (CPI) in May could reach as much as 4.7% year-on-year. If so, it may set the second record in a row for the last 13 years since the summer of 2008, when the U.S. CPI was at 5.6% at some pre-crisis point.  The previous indication of consumer prices for April showed 4.2% rise.
4 June 2021 13:23

Mark Goichmann

Over recent months gold has been seen to be acting like a counter-Dollar in the market. Price movements of the yellow metal are strongly linked to the economic policy of the U.S. Administration and market perception of the Greenback. However, a general upward trend in gold prices, that started in March 2020, remain intact. Since then gold prices rose from $1680 per troy ounce to above $2100 per ounce. Major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed), have been conducting ultra-loose monetary policy since spring 2020.
2 June 2021 13:24

Lysakov Sergey

The EUR/USD sideway movements in a rather tight price range seem to have become a zero-sum game. But that is not the case, as both of the two major markets are still deriving benefits and capitalising on their mutual competition.  The manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for the Eurozone, which is an important indicator of the Old World's business activity, came out at 63.1 points yesterday. This is only two-tenths of a point below the April's record preliminary estimate for April, which was later lowered to a value of 62.9 points after the follow-up revision.
28 May 2021 11:27

Mark Goichmann

The Chinese Yuan is traditionally considered as an instrument authorities use to gain advantages in international trade by constantly devaluing it. For years the United States accused China for its currency market manipulations. It seems to be startling that the Yuan has been strengthening for almost a year, from May 2020 until now. The USDCNH declined to 6.36, bringing the Chinese currency to three year highs. It seems like the People’s Bank of China went against its own convictions by allowing the Yuan to constantly grow stronger.
26 May 2021 12:04

Lysakov Sergey

Today, in early Asian hours, the Chinese Yuan performed at its maximum value against the U.S. Dollar since June 2018. In both its mainland and offshore trading sessions, USD/CNY and USD/CNH have shown their three-year lows near 6.3920 and below 6.38, respectively. The onshore Renminbi remarkably rose through the key levels that pushed state banks of China to intervene at the beginning of the week. The latter circumstance may make any further big move of the exchange rate more laboured and risky, but not impossible.
21 May 2021 08:39

Mark Goichmann

Markets seem to have quickly recovered in the second half of Thursday after the stress caused by surprising revelations in the minutes released from the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). on Wednesday. The statements by the Federal Reserve (Fed) after the meeting on May 19 were solid it their position that ultra-soft monetary policy would remain in place until 2023 at least. But, FOMC minutes presented a slightly different picture as some of its members stated the opinion that the Fed should begin to reconsider the tapering of bond purchasing at some point.
19 May 2021 11:28

Lysakov Sergey

Stock markets are seen to be keeping sideway movements after last week's shake-up with a happy-end style rebound. Both the U.S. and the European indexes tried their best to build on the progress in the first half of the day on Tuesday, but failed to break last Friday's peak levels and, therefore, they changed at least an intraday sentiment to the slightly downside direction today.  What's going on? Shares of many companies may not be ready to move smoothly up the trajectory, similar to a straight line, without more noticeable dips on the road.
12 May 2021 13:43

Lysakov Sergey

A downward correction in stocks was long expected by many in the market, but at the same time, it began on Monday evening as a kind of surprise, with no particular excuse or a satisfactory starter. There were no alarming verbal remarks of any officials or weak statistical data right at the moment. Some similar drop would still have been more appropriate last Friday, May 7, after the U.S.
12 May 2021 12:53

Mark Goichmann

The Euro’s upside trend could be determined by several positive factors for the single European currency. The Euro is rising amid rising positive expectations in the markets and speeding up of the vaccination process. These factors are reflected in the German ZEW economic sentiment report that was published on Tuesday. The reading came out extremely positive at 84.2 that is far above 72.0 points expected and is a record since March 2000. On the other hand, the Euro is seen to be being pushed by the weakness of the U.S.
7 May 2021 09:49

Mark Goichmann

Major world central banks are seen to be playing the suicide checkers game in an attempt to keep their ultra-lose monetary policy as long as possible to provide stimulus for national economies that are on their way to a recovery from the pandemic. So, the first central bank to sketch a framework towards tightening its monetary policy may lose or win regarding the pace of pandemic relief, mass vaccination and rising business activity.
Market Focus

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