Market Overview

22 November 2019 09:31

Lysakov Sergey

Surging world debt will exceed $255 trillion by the end of 2019 and will continue to rise. According to International monetary fund projections in 2022 general government gross debt in advanced countries will climb to 104.5% of GDP form 103.1% this year. Emerging market and developing countries general government gross debt expected to climb to 60.9% of GDP by the 2022 from 53.3% currently.  In a past decade over $70 trillion to global debt was driven by governments and the non-financial corporate sector, each around $27 trillion.
20 November 2019 15:30

Lysakov Sergey

Federal Reserve System’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) due to release its FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday (19:00 pm GMT). The markets does not expect a major news from it. However, it is vital for every financial institution in the world to understand the future sentiment for monetary policy in United States. The sentiment on the market is positive towards Fed rate unchanged until July 2020 with 43% of investors seeing rates unchanged according to CBOE Target rate probability futures. Vast majority of the investors (99.3% says rates unlikely to change on FOMC December meeting).
19 November 2019 16:29

Lysakov Sergey

The impeachment inquiry by Democratic majority in the U.S. House of Representative went as an early bird presidential campaign in 2020. Democratic representatives are starving for something that might look like a personal vendetta to an alien President Donald Trump. This inquiry could be considered as a culmination of political confrontation between traditional American political mode and a new assertive way of ruling the country. Discouraging openness of Trump concerning impeachment hearings is in his favor.
18 November 2019 19:13

Lysakov Sergey

Recent developments in US-China Trade talks are seen rather disappointing than optimistic. Despite the calming signals from US officials of a first phase broad trade agreement is entering final stages there is a significant risk the talks could take longer than expected mid-December deadline. Such risks could evolve amid mounting US military and diplomatic pressure on China. The major sticking point could come from Hong Kong riots where fears of a bloody shutdown are rising.
15 November 2019 16:17

Lysakov Sergey

WTI Crude futures prices ranged $56-58 ahead of the Saudi Arabian oil giant Aramco IPO, which starts on Sunday Nov, 17th. The WTI futures rose almost 10% from the beginning of 2019. The oil market has witnessed a lot of pressure from Saudi official for the last couple of months to push crude price up, including further production cuts by OPEC member states according to Wall Street Journal. Nigerian minister of state for petroleum resources Timipre Sylva speculated late October Saudi Arabia could apply further production cuts above agreed with OPEC+.
11 November 2019 12:57

Brian Cooper

Crude oil prices, the Norwegian Krone and Swedish Krona may all rise if US President Donald Trump’s speech on trade policy amplifies market buoyancy and leads capital to flow into cycle-sensitive assets. NOK, SEK and Brent may also get an additional boost if US CPI and retail sales data show improvement in the world’s largest economy. However, local data out of the EU, Sweden and Norway could reverse some of NOK and SEK’s gains.
4 November 2019 08:54

Brian Cooper

The price of gold attempts to break out of the range-bound price action from the previous month, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) highlighting a similar dynamic as data prints coming out of the US point to a slowing economy. The reaction to the 128K rise in US Non-Farm Payrolls was short lived, with the price of gold climbing to a session-high of $1516 as the ISM Manufacturing survey crossed the wires at 48.3 versus expectations for a 48.9 print.
21 October 2019 09:10

Brian Cooper

After the amendment has passed, Johnson has reluctantly sent in a request to the EU to seek for a three-month extension to the Brexit deadline. However, he also sent a subsequent letter explaining why the UK government did not want an extension. The idea behind this is to keep the pressure on UK lawmakers to agree on something at least before yet another extension. As for the EU side of the equation, don't expect any firm answers any time soon until just before the deadline next week.
17 October 2019 12:52

Brian Cooper

Netflix shares climbed 10% higher on Wednesday after the company revealed it surpassed analyst expectations in the most recent quarter. The company generated $5.42 billion in revenue, translating to $1.47 earnings per share, compared to the expected $5.25 billion and $1.05 EPS. Alongside financials, Netflix revealed it failed to meet subscriber growth expectations, adding only 6.7 million versus the 6.8 million that Wall Street analysts were looking for.
16 October 2019 12:42

Brian Cooper

At first glance, a middle ground of UK and the EU is trying to land on in negotiations. Both sides moving closer towards a Brexit deal sounds good but the key giveaway is that it is a deal that is conditional on DUP support.

Material posted here is solely for information purposes and reliance on this may lead to losses. Past performances are not a reliable indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer.

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