Market Overview

9 July 2021 12:50

Mark Goichmann

The European central bank (ECB) made an unexpected move in its monetary policy by changing its inflation target from the previous “below, but close to, 2% over the medium term” to “2% over the medium-term with a ’symmetric’ aim”. The new approach of the ECB is clearer as the Governing Council of the ECB is now considering negative and positive deviations from this target due to the fact that now they are equally undesirable. However, this statement eliminates “any possible ambiguity and resolutely conveys that 2% is not a ceiling” as the President of the ECB Christine Lagarde said.
6 July 2021 05:37

Mark Goichmann

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies failed to reach an agreement to extend the production cut deal beyond April 2022. Three days of dramatic dispute ended without an expected plan being reached concerning the increase of production quotas by 400,000 barrels per day which was predicted to be set for August-December 2021. The meeting of OPEC+ countries was postponed three times, but eventually ended with no agreement. The demand for crude oil is rising along with global economic recovery and reviving business activity.
30 June 2021 09:14

Lysakov Sergey

The stocks of the U.S. financial system grandees are on the rise again, after about a three-week period of a corrective mood. On the night of June 28th to 29th, five of the six largest American banks increased the amount of their quarterly dividends, soon after the Federal Reserve System (Fed) gave permission for this move. As a whole, the dividend sizes for these six financial institutions would be increased by 40%. However, each financial institution has made its own decision about the scale of the increase.
25 June 2021 11:25

Mark Goichmann

Markets seem to be full of paradoxes and here is only one. Market participants managed to have a breather from swift monetary policy position changes last week after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced possible earlier than expected interest rate hikes in 2023 and the start of the stimulus tapering discussion. This announcement was enough for a short correction of risky assets and the U.S. Dollar.
23 June 2021 14:43

Lysakov Sergey

Stock rallies were temporarily disturbed last week with a seemingly surprising projection for the first potential rate hike "as soon as" the second half of 2023 instead of 2024 as mentioned in previous Federal Reserve’s (Fed) forecasts. On the contrary, Jerome Powell, the U.S. Fed’s head, has mitigated some market worries in a hearing before the House of Representatives panel on Tuesday, June 22. In fact, he performed just in a way, which market optimists expected from the official first rank Fed's frontman.
18 June 2021 12:15

Mark Goichmann

Brent crude prices were testing their highs this week at the psychological level of $75 per barrel. The strong upward trend is still present despite recent corrections and there could be many reasons for that. The pandemic is gradually fading, causing business activity to recover worldwide, and consequently the demand for “black gold” to increase. According to the recent forecast of the International Energy Agency the global demand for crude oil could top 96.7 million barrels per day in 2021, which is 5.7  million bpd above the 2020 level, when it plunged by 8.
16 June 2021 11:18

Lysakov Sergey

The pan-European composite Euro Stoxx 50 index showed its maximum value for the last 13 years on Tuesday, June 15, exceeding the landmark of 4,150 points for the first time since the spring of 2008. This record has not yet been replicated in the course of today's European session, but the stocks are still near record highs. Financial and industrial sectors, and oil companies are among the leaders of today's upside move.
11 June 2021 10:49

Mark Goichmann

A combination of market events on Thursday seem to largely illustrate a possible disposition of the U.S. Dollar and the Euro. First of all inflation in the United States presented a 13 year record high as it jumped to 5.0% vs the forecasted 4.7%, and the previous April figure of 4.2%. Such a surge in prices may have been a shock for investors some time ago, and led to immediate strengthening of the Greenback amid swift actions from the Federal Reserve (Fed) to tighten monetary policy.
9 June 2021 13:33

Lysakov Sergey

World markets are mainly treading water ahead of the U.S. inflation data due to be released this Thursday. The expert community survey by media giants Bloomberg and Reuters is expecting on average that the consumer price index (CPI) in May could reach as much as 4.7% year-on-year. If so, it may set the second record in a row for the last 13 years since the summer of 2008, when the U.S. CPI was at 5.6% at some pre-crisis point.  The previous indication of consumer prices for April showed 4.2% rise.
4 June 2021 13:23

Mark Goichmann

Over recent months gold has been seen to be acting like a counter-Dollar in the market. Price movements of the yellow metal are strongly linked to the economic policy of the U.S. Administration and market perception of the Greenback. However, a general upward trend in gold prices, that started in March 2020, remain intact. Since then gold prices rose from $1680 per troy ounce to above $2100 per ounce. Major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed), have been conducting ultra-loose monetary policy since spring 2020.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72.72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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