Market Overview

10 June 2019 07:55

Maria Gregoriou

A few months ago, predictions were that the oil market for 2020 would be the one to look out for as “many market commentators predicted that if $100/bbl-oil was going to make a comeback, it would happen in 2020,” according to Bloomberg. But the release of the first official assessment of 2020 by the International Energy Agency on Friday shows persistent surpluses could be accumulated next year. This does not indicate rising prices, which were previously predicted and the reason why investors kept a keen eye on the oil market.
7 June 2019 08:31

Maria Gregoriou

German exports fell by 0.5 percent from April 2018 to April 2019, according to the Trade Balance report released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deautschland The overall German export value for the month of April 2019 was estimated to be 109.7 billion euros, while the value of imported goods stands at 91.7 billion euros. In contrast to German exports, imported goods increased by 2.1 percent in April 2019 year on year. “After calendar and seasonal adjustment, exports were down 3.7 percent and imports 1.3 percent compared with March 2019,” the report states.
6 June 2019 08:54

Maria Gregoriou

Fiat Chrysler withdrew its proposal to merge with French automaker Renault due to the lack of political conditions that would ensure a successful deal. The talks between the two automobile companies have been going on since May and after a series of late-night meetings, the French government requested a vote for or against the merger to be delayed. The French government owns 15 percent of Renault and as it did not see assurances on a number of matters, including job security, it hoped for more time to complete the merger.
5 June 2019 09:28

Maria Gregoriou

The hot topic lately in the news is trade. During President Donald Trump’s state visit to Britain and his meeting with Prime Minister Theresa May, he encouraged the UK to get Brexit over with so that the U.S and the UK could come to a trade deal. According to Bloomberg, Trump said that a deal would triple trade between the two countries. In other news, Chinese President Xi Jinping said that China’s economy is stable, healthy and well placed to meet all risks and challenges, according to a transcript published by the Xinhua news agency just before Xi’s state visit to Russia.
4 June 2019 07:44

Maria Gregoriou

The British Retail Consortium (BRC) released its Like-For-Like Retail Sales report, which measures changes in the actual value of retail sales from participating companies with invaluable management information on a regular and reliable basis. For May this report showed retail sales dropped by 2.7 percent, which is the biggest drop since 1995. This drop can be explained, in part, by the fact that last year the UK saw lots of sunshine around this period, the World Cup was on and the royal wedding gave everyone something to cheer about, giving people more incentives to spend.
3 June 2019 09:27

Maria Gregoriou

The Markit Economics released the Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) this morning, showing that operational conditions have improved slightly for May. According to the index, total new work rose at a fast pace for Chinese manufacturing firms in May. Export sales also saw an increase while production was broadly stable. As production rose and employment levels remained the same, a backlog of work continued to be on the rise.
31 May 2019 08:42

Maria Gregoriou

In his latest bid to control illegal immigration from Mexico, U.S President Donald Trump has announced that all goods coming from Mexico to the U.S will carry a tariff of up to 25 percent. In a tweet he stated that as of June 10 there will be a five percent tariff put on all imports coming into the U.S from Mexico, and this will slowly rise “until such time as illegal migrants coming through Mexico, and into our Country, STOP. The Tariff will gradually increase until the Illegal Immigration problem is remedied.
30 May 2019 07:20

Maria Gregoriou

As the world’s two largest economies, the U.S and China, show no signs of coming to some kind of agreement when it comes to the trade war, the Dollar reached an almost two-year high yesterday at 98.371, while the world fears for the worst. Trade talks have been going on for ten months now and with President Donald Trump raising tariffs on Chinese imports earlier on in the month, the economies on both sides of the Atlantic are continuing to feel the strain.
29 May 2019 07:35

Maria Gregoriou

An ongoing effort is needed to strengthen the New Zealand financial system, stated the Governor of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Adrian Orr, during a speech, while releasing the May financial stability report. As the financial system risks remain high, the governor suggested that increasing financial institutions’ capital positions are central to ensuring that they can withstand severe shocks. In order to put this plan in action, Orr said “we have proposed higher capital requirements for banks and are currently reviewing public submissions on this proposal.
28 May 2019 09:09

Maria Gregoriou

Consultancy firm Duff & Phelps released a survey today showing that the city of New York has overtaken London as the world’s pre-eminent financial centre. This shift, according to the survey, is down to Brexit and all the uncertainty surrounding Britain’s delay in leaving the European Union. The annual Global Regulatory Outlook survey asked 180 executives in asset management, private equity, hedge funds, banking and brokerage where they thought the top financial centre is located.
Market Focus
  • China: May industrial output up 5.0%, weakest in 17 years, retail sales rise 8.6% (16-year low)
  • France: consumer price index growth slowed to 0.1% in May
  • Germany: wholesale price growth slowed in May
  • Competitive currency devaluation could prompt global financial chaos - ex-PBOC chief

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