Market Overview

3 April 2020 12:49

Lysakov Sergey

Oil prices suddenly woke up on Thursday, from the unplanned spring slumber posted on Wednesday at a place that is perhaps not the bottom of prices. The messages and the latest news concerning the oil market is still ambiguous but it looks like something is actually being prepared.
1 April 2020 13:52

Lysakov Sergey

Commodity markets are suffering from much stronger pressures than stock prices. It seems that the investment community has some kind of consensus understanding that most "blue chips" and just "too-large-to-fall" companies would be able to restore somehow almost the same level of their revenue and income when the story with quarantine crisis finally ends. But raw material prices represent a different layer of reality. They could remain high or quite low for a longer time depending not only on the dynamics of world production demand but also on the specifics of the supply.
31 March 2020 12:15

Lysakov Sergey

All European and US stock indexes are still resilient to the pressure of disappointing news pretending that a lot of economic effects caused by the pandemic could be priced in already. The American S&P500 Futures that moved down to the 2450-2475 area in early Asia hours of Tuesday morning considering the extension of social isolation regimes in the United States at the federal level until April 30, were totally absorbed afterwards. The futures were testing the 2640 local resistance level near last Friday's highs, trying to keep or even to extend gains during today's European afternoon.
30 March 2020 13:45

Lysakov Sergey

Frankly speaking, the trading week started with not the most encouraging news flow. Following in the footsteps of the majority of European governments, which one after another extend the terms of quarantine measures, including the pre-announced extension of self-isolation in Germany until the end of April, U.S. President Donald Trump also accepted the need to prolong the quarantine measures in the U.S. through to April 30.
27 March 2020 13:48

Lysakov Sergey

Yesterday the attention of many traders was focused on the market's consensus reaction to the US Initial Jobless Claims statistics that measures the temperature of the economy, which has been poisoned by both the virus and the quarantine. The intrigue was further fuelled by the fact that before last Thursday, March 19, President Donald Trump directly asked statistical agencies to skip the publication of the jobs report, apparently just not to scare breathless markets.
26 March 2020 08:58

Lysakov Sergey

An adventure is always unexpected. Sometimes I entertain the notion that I am like a wizard with staff that travelled the half-length and half-breadth of the world and who has seen more than enough fireworks that one could hardly imagine. But to be honest, even when I manage to make quite reasonable conclusions, from time to time, during the kaleidoscopic changes scratching through the signs of the vigorous asset prices ups and downs, the uncertainties still buzz. An endless minefield with plenty of mistakes to be made by all of us, not excluding myself.
24 March 2020 13:48

Lysakov Sergey

Stock indexes in the United States, Europe, Asia and many other parts of the world rebounded by values from five to eight % if compared with this week's opening prices after new and unprecedented moves by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to shore up credit across the economy. The Fed is now committed to use its full range of tools.
23 March 2020 11:58

Lysakov Sergey

All over the past week the market community asked itself a simple question: is there a serious chance that local upside corrections may have already turned into one big global rebound? But the market situation provides a simple answer: not now. After several attempts to build on limited gains during four days and a half, the market close on Friday clearly demonstrated that nothing is over. New sale-offs rattled markets after the news of New York City shutdown following the California state lockdown.
20 March 2020 15:47

Lysakov Sergey

The US Dollar Index (DXY) went down significantly this morning from a night peak of 103.76 to the 102 area after a surge yesterday. However, in general since the beginning of the week and even now after it rolled down, the US Dollar Index performed an increase of more than four %. Just over the last ten days the British Pound fell against the Dollar from the levels above 1.30 to 1.14 at the lowest point, the Euro dropped from the 1.13-1.15 area to 1.06-1.08 price range, and the Aussie lost more than one thousand basis points in a very volatile movement.
19 March 2020 14:49

Lysakov Sergey

While almost all the world's central banks continue to flood the market fire with trillions of monetary liquidity, and currency movements are in extreme volatility, causing analogies with 2008, the information flow on the wires is still buzzing with harsh statements and forecasts which are showing first signs that the panic is not boundless and this is being reflected in the technical charts of stock indexes. The US S&P500 stock index went down without any noticeable spike during the New York trading session on Wednesday.
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