Market Overview

23 January 2020 12:31

Lysakov Sergey

Canadian dollar lost ground after pretty dovish comments made by the Bank of Canada in its interest rate announcement and monetary policy report on Wednesday. USD/CAD was trading near 1.3050 before the BoC news were released and climbed to 1.3160 as a market reaction still evolve. Since autumn 2019, the BoC Governing Council was occupied with the deteriorating global outlook that was affecting Canada's economy through weaker exports and manufacturing sector with distinct effects of uncertainty for companies' investment decisions.
22 January 2020 12:49

Lysakov Sergey

USD/CAD consolidated in a narrow 50-point range for the second week, after more expansive movements of December. Canadian dollar was strengthened well in the last days of the year in a remarkable correlation with rising oil prices. Before the escalation of Iran-USA conflict in the first days of 2020, when oil prices gapped for the most expensive January levels, the Loonie was trading near 1.2950 against US dollar. But, as soon as oil futures came to more appropriate price area US dollar immediately climbed higher, lifting USD/CAD to 1.31.
21 January 2020 12:43

Lysakov Sergey

Inspiring Q42019 earnings report due to be released Jan. 23 could enable Starbucks shares (SBUX) to update its highs of July 2019 if Starbucks will follow the scenario of many rising shares of different companies on the US stock market that performed well in 2019. The Starbucks shares today is still $6 below its highs recorded last summer when it reached $99.72 per share. Taking into account than it gained already 78% over the last 18 months and made a correction to $81 in Nov. 2019 any inspiring earnings report could push the price above the record highs near $100.
20 January 2020 14:12

Lysakov Sergey

The S&P500, Nasdaq as well as French CAC40 closed last Friday at new records, and this week investors are focused on fresh earning reports of those limited number of companies which could still look fundamentally strong and technically more or less in uptrend, but still trading below their previous records. Netflix is expected to release its 4Q2019 earnings report on January 21. According to barrons.com Netflix is expected to report 52 cents in earnings per share for the fourth quarter, up from 30 cents in the same quarter last year. Revenue is estimated at $5.5 billion, versus $4.
11 December 2019 11:54

Lysakov Sergey

World trade organization (WTO) lost its role after its enforcement arm, the Appellate body, forfeited its function to render any judgments. United States has blocked the appointment of new judges to replace those whose terms have expired yesterday. As of today, the only one acting judge remain in the Body while at least three needed to enforce trade ruling. European Union called the shutdown of the World Trade Organization's appellate body is “a very serious blow" for the global trading system.
10 December 2019 14:37

Lysakov Sergey

An increasing number of banks see euro surging in 1Q2020 to almost $1.16. Strategists bet on Brexit resolution by the end of January 2020 as a major driver for European currency along with stabilizing economy. ABN Amro Bank NV and Commerzbank AG are seeing euro at $1.14 by March 2020, Morgan Stanley bulls euro to $1.16 in 1Q2020. The currency is seen rising to $1.12 by March before a steady ascent to $1.16 by the end of 2020, up from around $1.1065 now, according to Bloomberg survey. Indeed euro is seen stronger as of today with recovery signs in leading European economies.
9 December 2019 15:17

Lysakov Sergey

Stable growth momentum anticipated in Euro area as a whole, and France and Italy in particular in the next six to nine months, according to the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development calculations. Composite leading indicators, reviewed by OECD, continue to point to stable growth momentum in Japan and Canada. Signs of stabilizing growth are also emerging in the United States, Germany and the United Kingdom. Germany’s economy recovery track was supported by exports that rose unexpectedly by 1.
6 December 2019 14:21

Lysakov Sergey

Stronger than expected nonfarm payrolls pushed US dollar against all currencies. Unexpected 266,000 change of employed vs 186,000 expected and 160,000 anticipated in November made US dollar surge to 1.1070 vs Euro (EUR) and 108.900 to Japanese yen (JPY). Gold dumped by 0.6% to $1467 an ounce just after labor market data were released. Average hourly earnings were also above expectation at 3.1% year-on-year in November. US Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised October nonfarm payrolls up to 156,000 from 128,000.
5 December 2019 16:33

Lysakov Sergey

OPEC+ decision on further cuts could be partially shrugged off by some members. As OPEC+ members gathered in Vienna on Thursday to discuss possible further cuts of crude output by additional 400,000 bpd latest OPEC analysis showed a large oversupply and build-up in inventories in the first half of 2020. Saudi Arabia and Venezuela proposed even deeper additional cuts by 500,000 bpd to 1.2 mb/d according to the agreement to be running by end of March 2020 with a strict condition of “total compliance”. Some countries within OPEC+ are still failing to meet compliance with pledged production cut.
28 November 2019 13:11

Lysakov Sergey

Global economic growth continues to be week despite some signs of recovery. The outlook for 2020 by OECD was recently trimmed to 2.9% with major world economies continue slowdown in a year to come. Trade tensions between United States and China fueled by geopolitical risks retracting world trade. Central banks throughout the globe tend to lower interest rates or al least likely to maintain it at low levels. Government bonds such as US 10-year Treasuries as alternative safe heaven assets are underperforming inflation with low or even negative yields.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.