Market Overview

27 February 2015

Interest rate hike by the Fed this year?

Analysts and investors are awaiting that the Fed will raise its interest rate this year, perhaps in the second half of the year. But the Fed Chair Janet Yellen said this week that the Fed is no hurry to hike its interest rate. She said that it will depend on the economic data. I suppose that it will also depend on the development of the economy in the Europe and Japan.

The recent released data from the U.S., the Europe and Japan was mixed. The European Central Bank (ECB) will launch its quantitative easing starting from March 2015 until September 2016. It will take time to see the impact of these stimulus measures.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) released its minutes from January meeting this week. Three BoJ's board members expressed doubts the central bank will achieve its 2% inflation goal in the targeted period.

Both the Europe and Japan will difficulty to reach their targets this year. This could mean that the Fed might delay its interest rate hike.

Konstantin Meinhardt
Market Focus

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