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18.06.2014 08:59

Foreign exchange market. Asian session: the Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting minutes and Japan’s trade balance

Economic calendar (GMT0):

00:00    Australia              Conference Board Australia Leading Index  April      0.0%              -0.1%

00:30    Australia              Leading Index                                              April      -0.5%            +0.1%

08:30    United Kingdom  Bank of England Minutes

The U.S. dollar traded mixed against the most major currencies ahead of the Fed’s interest decision today. Market participants expect the Fed will cut its asset purchase program by another $10 billion, but the Fed will keep its interest rate unchanged until 2015.

The U.S. currency was still supported by the yesterday’s better-than expected U.S. consumer inflation. The consumer price index in the U.S. rose 0.4% in May, exceeding expectations for a 0.2% gain, after a 0.3% increase in April.

The New Zealand dollar increased against the U.S dollar ahead of the Fed’s interest decision. New Zealand’s current account rose to a surplus of NZ$1.41 billion in the first quarter, from a deficit of NZ$1.51 billion in the fourth quarter of 2013. The fourth quarter of 2013 figure was revised down from a deficit of NZ$1.43 billion. Analysts had expected an increase to a surplus of NZ$1.30 billion.

The Australian dollar traded little changed against the U.S. dollar ahead of the Fed’s interest decision. The Conference Board released its leading index for Australia. The index declined 0.1% in April, after a flat reading in March.

The Japanese yen traded lower against the U.S. dollar after the release of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting minutes and Japan’s trade balance. The BoJ said the country's economy is expected to continue its moderate recovery and the current monetary easing appears to be having the intended results.

The BoJ reported that the political unrest in Thailand could impact Japan's exports.

Japan's merchandise trade deficit reached Y909 billion in May, after a deficit of Y811.7 billion in April. Analysts had expected the trade deficit to widen to Y1,189.3 billion.

Japan’s exports declined 2.7% year-on-year in May. That was the first decline in 15 months. Imports dropped at annual rate by 3.6%.

EUR/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

GBP/USD: the currency pair traded mixed

USD/JPY: the currency pair increased to Y102.24

The most important news that are expected (GMT0):

09:00    Switzerland         Credit Suisse ZEW Survey (Expectations)       June        7.4         10.0      

11:15    United Kingdom  MPC Member Weale Speaks                                                  

12:30    Canada               Wholesale Sales, m/m                                     April         -0.4%   +0.3%  

12:30    U.S.                    Current account, bln                                       Quarter I    -81        -96            

17:30    United Kingdom  MPC Member Andy Haldane Speaks                                                  

18:00    U.S.                    FOMC Economic Projections                                                   

18:00    U.S.                    FOMC Statement                                                         

18:00    U.S.                    Fed Interest Rate Decision                                              0.25%   0.25%   

18:00    U.S.                    FOMC QE Decision                                                            45          35          

18:30    U.S.                    Federal Reserve Press Conference                                                     

22:45    New Zealand       GDP q/q                                                         Quarter I   +0.9%  +1.2%  

22:45    New Zealand       GDP y/y                                                         Quarter I  +3.1%  +3.7%

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