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14.02.2014 16:40

Oil: an overview of the market situation

Oil prices declined moderately today as weak U.S. economic data could compensate for the increase , which was connected to supply disruptions in Libya and Angola.

Experts note that an unexpected drop in U.S. retail sales surge in January and weekly claims for unemployment insurance caused doubts about the accelerating growth in the world's largest economy and undermined expectations of increasing global oil demand growth this year.

" Prices have fallen during today's session , as the weaker outlook for demand in the United States and the decline in producer prices in China have reduced investor interest in buying ," said Kas Kamal , an analyst at Sucden.

Oil experts, however , remain optimistic about global growth in oil demand .

Recall that the report presented today in China showed that consumer prices rose 2.5 percent in January compared with the previous year , registering the same rate of increase as in December. Experts expect that consumer prices will rise by 2.4 percent. On a monthly basis , consumer price inflation accelerated to 1 percent from 0.3 percent a month earlier. For the entire 2013 , inflation was 2.6 percent , well below the government's target of 3.5 per cent .

At the same time , it was reported that producer prices fell by 1.6 percent year on year , compared with a decline of 1.4 percent in December. The rate of decline matched economists' expectations and remain in negative territory for almost two years. On a monthly basis , producer prices fell 0.1 percent in January , while fixing the first drop in the past six months.

On the dynamics of trade also influenced appeal of the International Energy Agency (IEA ) to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to increase oil production.

Oil stocks in developed countries fell to a 5-year low amid strong demand , and oil prices since the beginning of the year increased by 9 %. In order to cool slightly overheated market , the IEA and OPEC asked to increase production quotas .

Current daily limit supply by OPEC countries - 30 million barrels per day , the actual daily volume of deliveries in January amounted to 29.94 million barrels per day

During the last three months of 2013 oil reserves in the group of OECD countries declined by 1.5 million daily barrels , so quickly reserves are not depleted in 1999.

One of the leaders to increase demand for oil was U.S. . And, as analysts predict this trend will continue for some time .

The other day , OPEC and U.S. Energy Information Administration raised its forecast for global oil demand in 2014. The IEA raised its forecast to a record 92.6 million barrels per day , down 1.3 million barrels a day more than last year .

Traders also respond to data from the U.S. Department of Energy , under which oil reserves rose by 11.1 million barrels over the past four weeks.

March futures price for U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) fell to $ 99.92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

March futures price for North Sea Brent crude oil mixture fell 46 cents to $ 108.25 a barrel on the London exchange ICE Futures Europe.

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