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09.12.2013 13:00

European session: the euro rose against the dollar moderately


00:30 Australia Index number of vacancies from ANZ, m / m -0.1% in November 0.8%

1:30 China Producer Price Index y / y in November -1.5 % -1.5 % -1.4 %

1:30 China Consumer Price Index y / y +3.2 % +3.0 November % +3.0 %

05:00 Japan index of the current situation of the Eco Watchers November 51.8 52.3 53.5

05:00 Japan : Outlook Eco Watchers Survey: November 54.5 54.7 54.8

6:45 Switzerland November unemployment rate of 3.2% 3.2 % 3.2 %

7:00 Germany Balance of Payments, 19.7 billion in October 17.1 19.1

7:00 Germany Trade Balance, 18.8 billion in October 17.4 16.8

8:15 Switzerland Retail Sales y / y in October +1.0 % +1.7% +1.2 %

09:30 EU indicator of investor confidence Sentix October 9.3 10.5 8.0

10:00 EU Eurogroup Meeting

11:00 Germany Industrial Production ( m / m) in October -0.9% +0.8% -1.2 %

11:00 Germany Industrial Production y / y in October +1.0 % +3.1% +1.0 %

The euro exchange rate rose slightly against the dollar, helped by positive data on the balance of payments in Germany. As it became known , the surplus of the current account balance Germany in October fell not so much as expected. Unadjusted he declined to 19.1 billion euros against a revised 20.0 billion euros in September. It's more than economists forecast , which was 16.8 billion euros

Nevertheless, the positive part of this was offset by other data , which showed that the trade surplus with adjustments for seasonal and calendar factors in October fell to 16.8 billion euros compared with 18.7 billion euros in September. It was also less than economists forecast , which was 17.4 billion euros.

We also add that bullish about the single currency has persisted despite the drop in the index of investor sentiment Sentix to 8 vs. 10.4 and the previous value of 9.3. Experts note that the growth momentum of the eurozone remains too slow to eliminate the risks of disinflation / deflation. So , on the agenda is the prospect of easing by the ECB , which is negative for the euro

It should also be noted that the euro was little reaction to weak report on industrial production , which showed a decrease in volume by 1.2 % in October , although expected to grow by 0.8%.

The yen traded cautiously against the dollar, despite the fact that the published data were worse than expected . Report from the Cabinet Office showed that the Japanese economy in the third quarter increased by 0.3 %. According to preliminary data, the growth was at 0.5% . Revision due to the fact that capital investments were lower than the original estimate, due to weak foreign demand . Compared with the first half of the year growth has slowed considerably - when he was about 4.0 %, which overtook the U.S. growth . The government and the central bank of Japan expect recovery of exports and business investment in the country, which is seen as necessary in order that the economy continued to increase after the increase in the sales tax in April next year . However, the government revised data for capital expenditure from 0.7% in the preliminary estimate of GDP to change no change . Has also been reduced growth rate of reserves - to 0.7 % on an annualized basis Revision of data on GDP growth downward confirms the fragility of economic recovery in Japan , to benefit from short-term demand growth before sales tax increase in April.

EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.3729

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair rose to $ 1.6390

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair traded in a narrow range of Y102.88-Y103.20

At 13:15 GMT , Canada will release data on the number of Housing Starts for November. At 23:50 GMT Japan BSI to publish an index of business conditions for large manufacturers and business conditions index (BSI) for large enterprises in all sectors for the 4th quarter , as well as the index of activity in the services sector in October.

09.12.2013 12:45


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