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13.11.2013 13:10

European session: British pound rose significantly against the U.S. dollar

Data:

00:00 New Zealand RBNZ This chapter Graeme Wheeler

00:30 Australia Employment Cost Index , q / q III m +0.7 % +0.8 % +0.5 %

00:30 Australia Employment Cost Index Y / Y III quarter +2.9 % +2.9 % +2.7 %

09:30 UK average earnings , 3 m / y in September +0.7 % +0.7 % +0.7 %

09:30 UK average earnings (excluding bonuses) , 3 m / y in September +0.8 % +0.9 % +0.8 %

09:30 UK The number of applications for unemployment benefits , th October -41.7 -30.2 -41.7

09:30 UK jobless claims level of employment in October 4.0 % 3.9 % 3.9 %

09:30 UK ILO unemployment rate in September 7.7 % 7.7 % 7.6 %

10:00 EU Industrial Production m / m in September +1.0 % -0.2 % -0.5 %

10:00 EU Industrial Production y / y in September -2.1 % +0.1 % +1.1 %

10:30 UK It BOE Mark Carney

10:30 UK Letter of the Bank of England 's Inflation IV quarter

12:10 Eurozone ECB board member Jens Weidmann


The dollar rose slightly against the euro, which was associated with the release of a weak report on the euro area. Data from the Statistical Office Eurostat showed that the September industrial production in the euro zone fell more than expected, after recording moderate growth in the previous month. According to the report , the seasonally adjusted industrial production fell in September by 0.5 per cent ( on a monthly basis ), which followed a 1 percent increase in the previous month . Economists had forecast a decline in September at 0.2 percent. Meanwhile, it was reported that the production of durable consumer goods fell by 2.6 percent, and the output of capital goods decreased by 1 percent. Production of intermediate goods was down 0.8 percent compared to September 2012 . Note also that the production of energy increased by 1.3 percent. On an annual basis , industrial production grew by 1.1 percent in September , after falling 1.1 percent in August , which was revised down from -2.1 percent. Economists had expected production to grow by only 0.1 percent.

The pound rose sharply against the dollar, helped by optimistic data on unemployment in Britain, and subsequent statements from the Committee on the monetary policy of the Bank of England. The Office for National Statistics reported that the unemployment rate by the standards of the International Labor Organization fell in July -September to 7.6 percent, compared with 7.7 percent in the three months to August. We also add that the number of unemployed in this period amounted to 2470000 people, which has a minimum value for more than two years. Economists had expected the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.

Today's data also showed that the number of applications for benefits fell by 41,700 in October compared with the previous month , reaching 1.31 million ( the lowest since January 2009 ) . Economists had forecast a decline of 30.2 thousand Given this change in the level of applications for employment of unemployed fell to 3.9 percent from 4 percent in September.

In view of the change in the unemployment rate , the Bank of England may consider raising key interest rates as early as the 3rd quarter of 2015 , an increase of nine months earlier than previously expected. Better prospects for domestic demand in the UK, because the recovery is gaining momentum , means that unemployment will decline faster than the management of the Bank of England considered three months ago. Unemployment is likely to reach a decisive threshold 7% for the 3rd quarter of 2015 .

Also the management of the Bank of England stated that the economic recovery will accelerate in the 4th quarter of the current year and GDP growth will reach 0.9 % from 0.8 % in the 3rd quarter. These forecasts are based on market expectations as to what interest rates will rise in mid-2015 . This increase will slow growth in 2014 and 2015 , said the Bank of England.


EUR / USD: during the European session, the pair fell to $ 1.3407

GBP / USD: during the European session, the pair has set high at $ 1.6000

USD / JPY: during the European session, the pair fell to Y99.37


At 18:01 GMT the United States Stir 10 - year bonds . At 19:00 GMT the United States will be released monthly performance report for October. At 21:30 GMT New Zealand will release the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of Business NZ in October , and 21:45 GMT to announce the change in retail sales for the 3rd quarter . At 23:50 GMT Japan is to publish preliminary data on changes in GDP, nominal GDP and the GDP deflator for the 3rd quarter .

13.11.2013 13:00

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