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01.11.2013 18:20

American focus : dollar is strengthening

The euro has decreased significantly against the dollar being under pressure amid increased expectations of a rate cut at the December meeting of the ECB. These conversations were triggered yesterday's inflation data , pointed to a sharp drop in the CPI. Furthermore , the rate b / d is at high level. In September, the euro zone CPI was 0.7 % , as reported by the agency Eurostat. Analysts had expected result of 1.1 %. Inflation continues to be under pressure from the problem of unemployment in the eurozone. Eurostat revised to increase the more optimistic figure of 12% ( at the level of September) to 12.2 %.

We add that the pair EUR / USD steady decline from the opening on Monday, and threatened to register today most massive drop in February on the week.

Recall that earlier euro strengthened mainly due to expectations that the Fed will postpone start rolling QE program at least until March due to weak employment growth and affected due to the first 17 ​​years of the government shatdauna consumer confidence.

The dollar had evidence that the U.S. economic activity in the manufacturing sector in October rose for the fifth month in a row . Overall, the economy is growing throughout the 53rd consecutive month . The index of business activity in September rose 0.2 % to 56.2 . The index is growing every month since June, and the maximum value in October of 2013 . The new orders index in October rose by 0.1 % to 60.6 , the index of production fell by 1.8% to 60.8 %. Indices of new orders and production volume exceeds 60 for three consecutive months. The employment index fell by 2.2% to 53.2 . Comments respondents mostly positive about the business climate , though conflicting answers regarding the termination of the government and had the effect of potential default in October. Of the 18 industries 14 showed an increase in October.

The pound fell against the dollar, which has been associated with the release of weak data on Britain. The results of recent studies that have been presented the Royal Institute of Purchasing and Supply and Markit Economics, showed that the increase in activity in the British manufacturing sector slowed slightly in October , exceeding while forecasts.

According to the report, the purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector fell in October to the level of 56 points, compared with a revised downwards index for September at 56.3 (initially reported 56.7 points). Add that to the experts according to the average value of this indicator should have been 56.5 . Recall also that the value of the index is above 50 , however, indicates expansion of the sector .

Economists say that despite the downturn, the increase in activity remains solid . PMI is currently above the 50 level for the seventh consecutive month. Meanwhile, the data showed that the new influx of orders increased in October , as domestic and foreign demand is gaining momentum . The number of new export orders rose at the fastest pace since February 2011 , said Markit.

In addition, it was reported that manufacturing employment rose for the sixth straight month in October. However , the pace of job growth has dropped from a 27-month peak, which was seen in September. We also add that the purchase price inflation continued to decline during the month of October , while wholesale prices rose , registering with the fourth monthly increase in a row.

The Swiss franc fell against the U.S. dollar after it became known that the growth in the industrial sector in Switzerland slowed in October , despite the forecasts of experts at a small improvement , while offsetting the rise in the previous month. It became known from the results of the study, which was published by Credit Suisse and

According to the report , the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector fell this month to the level of 54.2 points compared to 55.3 points in September. Add that many experts had expected an increase of this index to the level of 55.4 . Recall that the index value above 50 suggests growth of activity in the manufacturing sector , while a decline below indicates decline. Note also that before the October decline in activity has increased seven consecutive months.

01.11.2013 17:40

European stocks close

Market Focus

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  • New Zealand CPI, 3Q: 0.2% q/q (forecast 0%), 0.2% y/y (forecast 0.1%)
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