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15.12.2011 09:04

Asian session: the euro rose for the first time in four days

02:30 China HSBC Manufacturing PMI December 47.7 49.0

The euro rose for the first time in four days against the dollar as Spain prepared to sell as much as 3.5 billion euros ($4.55 billion) of government bonds.

Switzerland’s franc appreciated versus all its major counterparts amid speculation its central bank will refrain from boosting its efforts to weaken the currency at a policy meeting today. The euro snapped a three-day decline after the currency’s 14-day relative strength index against the dollar fell to 29 yesterday, below the 30-level that some traders see as a sign an asset may be about to reverse direction.

The Australian dollar fell against most of their 16 major peers on concern Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis will slow global economic growth, sapping demand for riskier assets.

China’s manufacturing may decline for a second month in December as Europe’s debt crisis weighs on exports and home sales slide, preliminary results from a survey indicate. The reading of 49 for a purchasing managers’ index (MXWO) reported by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics today compares with a final number of 47.7 for November. The Asian nation is Australia’s largest trading partner and New Zealand’s second-biggest export market.

 

EUR/USD: on Asian session the pair is restored.

GBP/USD: on Asian session the pair has fallen, but was restored later.

USD/JPY: on Asian session  the pair decreases.


On Thursday sees the flash PMI releases from the main European states, which are expected to decline in both France at 0758GMT and

Germany at 0828GMT. The Swiss National Bank reveals it's policy decision at 0830GMT. There has been widespread speculation that the SNB they may hike the Swiss franc trading floor to E1.25 in euro-Swiss. Recent data have pointed up the continuing deflation danger in that country as a result of its still overly mighty currency. The EMU flash PMIs are due at 0858GMT and are expected to edge lower to readings of 46.0 for manufacturing and 47.0 for the services measure. The ECB then publishes the December monthly bulletin at 0900GMT. UK data at 0930GMT includes Retail Sales, the BOE GfK/NOP Inflation Attitudes survey and also SMMT Car Production. EMU Q3 GDP and employment data are due at 1000GMT along with final HICP for November, which is expected to confirm the preliminary reading of 3%. Then, at 1025GMT, ECB President Mario Draghi gives a lecture on "Last Resort ECB? Monetary Policy Leeway In The Social Market Economy," in Berlin. US data at 1330GMT includes the weekly Jobless Claims, Q3 Current Account data, the November PPI and also the latest NY Fed Empire State Survey.US data at 1330GMT includes the weekly Jobless Claims, Q3 Current Account data, the November PPI and also the latest NY Fed Empire State Survey. The weekly Bloomberg Comfort Index follows at 1445GMT, while at 1500GMT, the Philadelphia Fed index is expected to rise to a reading of 5.0 in December after falling to 3.6 in November. Weekly EIA Natural Gas Stocks data is due at 1530GMT. Later data includes the 2000GMT France Insee economic outlook. Later on, at 2130GMT, US M2 Money Supply data is due.

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