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13.10.2011 12:18

European session: The yen and dollar strengthened

 

Data: 
06:00 Germany CPI (September) final 0.1% 0.1%
06:00 Germany CPI (September) final Y/Y 2.6%
06:00 Germany HICP (September) final Y/Y 2.9%
08:30 UK Trade in goods (August), bln -7.8

The yen and dollar strengthened after a Chinese report showed exports slowed last month and the customs bureau warned of “severe” challenges, adding to signs global growth is slowing.
The euro fell as Germany’s top economic institutes cut their 2012 forecast for growth by more than half as the spiraling debt crisis weighs on banks and spending. Growth will slow to 0.8 percent next year from 2.9 percent in 2011, according to a bi-annual independent report commissioned by the German government. In April, the group forecast 2 percent economic growth for 2012.

EUR/USD: the pair fell in $1.3720 area.

GBP/USD: the pair decreased below $1.5700.

USD/JPY: the pair decreased below Y77,00.

US data starts at 1230GMT with jobless claims and the international trade balance. Initial jobless claims are expected to increase by 9,000 claims to 410,000 in the October 8 week. Seasonal adjustment factors expect unadjusted claims to rise sharply in the current week, the first full week of the new quarter. The international trade gap is expected to rise to $45.5 billion in August after narrowing sharply in July on widespread import declines. In August, Boring reported 18 orders from foreign buyers and 34 deliveries to foreign

buyers, both up from July. The import price index fell 0.4% on a sharp decline in energy imports. Excluding the energy price drop, import prices were up 0.3%. At the same time, export prices rose 0.5%, boosted by agriculture prices.


13.10.2011 12:30

US: Aug trade gap $45.6 bln

Market Focus

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  • China: Trade Balance, bln, October 49.6 (forecast 51.7)
  • New Zealand CPI, 3Q: 0.2% q/q (forecast 0%), 0.2% y/y (forecast 0.1%)
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