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31.08.2011 12:13

European session:

 

Data:

06:00 Germany Retail sales (July) real adjusted 0.0%
06:00 Germany Retail sales (July) real unadjusted Y/Y -1.6%
07:55 Germany Unemployment (August) seasonally adjusted -8.0K
07:55 Germany Unemployment (August) seasonally adjusted, mln 2.951
07:55 Germany Unemployment rate (August) seasonally adjusted 7.0% 
07:55 Germany Unemployment (August) seasonally unadjusted, mln 2.945
07:55 Germany Unemployment rate (August) seasonally unadjusted 7.0% 
09:00 EU(17) Harmonized CPI (August) Y/Y preliminary 2.5% 
09:00 EU(17) Unemployment (July) 10.0% 

The Swiss franc rose versus all its major peers as the central bank refrained from announcing any new steps to curb its gains, after intervening or referring to the currency’s strength on the first three Wednesdays of August.
The franc rallied from near a five-week low versus the dollar and extended its advance against the euro this year to 7.3 percent, hurting the competitiveness of Swiss exports. 
The euro weakened versus 14 of 16 major counterparts as data showed euro-area unemployment held at 10 percent for another month. 
The yen headed for a third monthly gain versus the dollar before a report that’s forecast to show U.S. employers added fewer jobs.
The euro weakened as data today showed European inflation stayed above target in August, even as the region’s economy shows signs of faltering. Inflation remained at 2.5 percent, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today in an initial estimate.
That was in line with the median of 35 economists’ estimates in a Bloomberg survey. The European Central Bank aims to keep inflation just below 2 percent over the medium term.

 

EUR/USD: the pair holds at $1.4415-$ 1.4470. 
GBP/USD: the pair showed low in area $1.6250 then  receded.
USD/JPY: the pair showed low slightly below  Y76.50 then receded.


1230GMT release of the latest ISM-NY Business Index. At 1345GMT, the Chicago PMI
is expected to fall to a reading of 53.0 in August after falling in July. Other regional data already released have suggested significant contraction. This is followed at 1400GMT by Factory Orders and also the latest Help-wanted Online index. Factory new orders are forecast to rise 2.0% in July. Durables orders were already reported up 4.0% in the month on a spike in aircraft orders. 
Weekly EIA Crude Oil Stocks data is due at 1430GMT. Then, at 1530GMT, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart is due to deliver a speech on the economy to the Greater Lafayette Chamber of Commerce. Late US data includes the 1900GMT release of Agriculture Prices for August.

 

Market Focus

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  • China: Trade Balance, bln, October 49.6 (forecast 51.7)
  • New Zealand CPI, 3Q: 0.2% q/q (forecast 0%), 0.2% y/y (forecast 0.1%)
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