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18.05.2011 08:18

Asian session: The dollar fell

Data:
00:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence (May) -1.3%

The dollar fell against the euro for a third day on speculation the Federal Reserve will trail the European Central Bank in tightening monetary policy.
The Dollar Index dropped before the U.S. central bank today releases minutes from its April 26-27 meeting, a gathering after which Chairman Ben S. Bernanke signaled the economy still requires monetary support. 
The euro was supported by prospects the ECB will raise interest rates even as the region’s debt crisis persists. 
New Zealand’s dollar advanced for a second day versus the greenback after a report showed producer prices rose in the first quarter.

EUR/USD: the pair grown $1,4230.

GBP/USD: the pair bargained within the limits of $1,6170-$ 1,6300.

USD/JPY: the pair grown in around Y81,40.

UK data again dominates the morning with the minutes of the latest bank of England meeting and also labour market data, both due at 0830GMT. Analysts expect the same vote split as in February, March and April with two Monetary Policy Committee members voting for a 25 basis point hike, one for a 50 bps hike, six for unchanged Bank Rate and one for more quantitative easing. The May meeting was the last for Andrew Sentance, who has been alone in backing a 50 basis point hike. The labour market survey is expected to show that the conjunction of rising employment without a decline in the claimant count jobless level continued. The benefit claimant count actually rose 700 in March. Today, the claimant count is expected to remain unchanged.
US data starts at 1100GMT with the weekly MBA Mortgage Application Index, which is followed at 1430GMT by the weekly EIA Crude Oil Stocks. Later on, at 1800GMT, the FOMC meeting minutes are due.

18.05.2011 08:31

UK DATA:

18.05.2011 08:05

Stocks: Tuesday's review

Market Focus

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  • Britain can't get full single market access with free movement concessions - Merkel
  • China: Trade Balance, bln, October 49.6 (forecast 51.7)
  • New Zealand CPI, 3Q: 0.2% q/q (forecast 0%), 0.2% y/y (forecast 0.1%)
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